[BostonCard]

Apropos this thread:

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/07...19?cid=apn

An increasing number of conservatives are convinced the medical community and the media are inflating the coronavirus death toll for political purposes, despite nearly all evidence indicating that, if anything, the figure is an undercount.

of course, motivated reasoning affects both sides...

The result is that, like many things during Trump’s presidency, the death toll has become politicized. A recent Axios-Ipsos poll found 40 percent of Republicans said the death toll was overreported, while 65 percent of Democrats said it was underreported. The poll noted that people who watched Fox News were more likely to believe the death toll was overreported. 

BC

Is it really motivated reasoning for a democrat to think the number is underreported? All evidence I've seen so far points to the death count being too low.

Based on this analysis, the numbers in NY at least, have not been significantly underreported.  Lots of other places have seen an excess of deaths not accounted for by COVID deaths.  But NY it is pretty much what you expect, which makes sense since Ny reports probable cases as COVID related even if there is no positive test.

https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail...cle-link-4

BC

[BostonCard]

Apropos this thread:

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/07...19?cid=apn

An increasing number of conservatives are convinced the medical community and the media are inflating the coronavirus death toll for political purposes, despite nearly all evidence indicating that, if anything, the figure is an undercount.

of course, motivated reasoning affects both sides...

The result is that, like many things during Trump’s presidency, the death toll has become politicized. A recent Axios-Ipsos poll found 40 percent of Republicans said the death toll was overreported, while 65 percent of Democrats said it was underreported. The poll noted that people who watched Fox News were more likely to believe the death toll was overreported. 

BC

Is it really motivated reasoning for a democrat to think the number is underreported? All evidence I've seen so far points to the death count being too low.

Based on this analysis, the numbers in NY at least, have not been significantly underreported.  Lots of other places have seen an excess of deaths not accounted for by COVID deaths.  But NY it is pretty much what you expect, which makes sense since Ny reports probable cases as COVID related even if there is no positive test.

https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail...cle-link-4

BC