[Farm93]

How much of that is influenced by NY, which clearly has been declining as outlined in several posts.  Are other states that maintained shelter in place ordinances also declining or is most of the effect specifically NY?

Second big question, has it been long enough for this to be due to relaxing of restrictions, give the up to two week lag between exposure and symptoms.

BC

One can easily see NY, NY and CT rates at different sources.  Those three states are on a rapid downward decline in cases and deaths.   To the point now that Michigan and Pennsylvania routinely are battling NY & NJ for the top spot in new daily deaths.  

The states outside of the top 10 are largely insignificant in the overall trend, but their trends are definitely on the rise.   The first clue will not be cases because the rate of testing and the types of people getting tested has not been constant.   The one number most of the governors do get is the hospitalization rate.   By most accounts hospitalizations are already rising and that's just the sacrifice we need because we live in a binary country.

More economic growth (pre-Nov 2020) or fewer deaths

It is not entirely clear the all-in approach will get economic growth pre-Nov 2020 but we are all living in the POTUS45 re-election campaign at the moment.

Never understood why testing and tracing are so undesirable since that is the viable 3rd option selected by those countries that now closest to getting economic growth AND fewer deaths.

[Farm93]

How much of that is influenced by NY, which clearly has been declining as outlined in several posts.  Are other states that maintained shelter in place ordinances also declining or is most of the effect specifically NY?

Second big question, has it been long enough for this to be due to relaxing of restrictions, give the up to two week lag between exposure and symptoms.

BC

One can easily see NY, NY and CT rates at different sources.  Those three states are on a rapid downward decline in cases and deaths.   To the point now that Michigan and Pennsylvania routinely are battling NY & NJ for the top spot in new daily deaths.  

The states outside of the top 10 are largely insignificant in the overall trend, but their trends are definitely on the rise.   The first clue will not be cases because the rate of testing and the types of people getting tested has not been constant.   The one number most of the governors do get is the hospitalization rate.   By most accounts hospitalizations are already rising and that's just the sacrifice we need because we live in a binary country.

More economic growth (pre-Nov 2020) or fewer deaths

It is not entirely clear the all-in approach will get economic growth pre-Nov 2020 but we are all living in the POTUS45 re-election campaign at the moment.

Never understood why testing and tracing are so undesirable since that is the viable 3rd option selected by those countries that now closest to getting economic growth AND fewer deaths.