(06-29-2020, 11:30 AM)Genuine Realist Wrote:(06-29-2020, 11:18 AM)burger Wrote:It's counterintuitive in the extreme to think they had no statistical effect.(06-29-2020, 10:45 AM)Genuine Realist Wrote: Offered without comment. The rise in lower age groups is particularly interesting.I just looked at the numbers for New York, DC, and PA, all of which had of immense proportions protests, and there is no recent increase in any covid metric. Here's New York City's data specifically. Scroll down and you'll see no increase in cases or positive test % recently. https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page
https://www.commentarymagazine.com/noah-...=automated
Attributing the increases elsewhere to the protest is completely specious. You could just as easily say that Memorial Day get-togethers were to blame. Meanwhile, there is lots of evidence that social distancing has been decreasing for months in the US. Check out the graph below from Apple's mobility data: https://www.apple.com/covid19/mobility That is your explanation, not protests.
But also to be considered is the effect on social discipline, undermining the regimen. If social distancing can be abandoned in this context, why not Party Hardy in others?
If the protests had a large effect, we'd be seeing it in New York and PA and DC, etc. If the protests had a small effect, then who cares?
If you, or that Commentary author, are going to offer up a hypothesis, you should show some data to back it up. Meanwhile, the data from several states goes directly against your hypothesis.
Please offer some actual evidence to support your theories. Otherwise, it's just an opinion and not worth further discussion.
