[ChicagoCard]

I mean, the argument was based on an NBER paper with actual data from 315 of the largest US cities.  And I said that I wasn’t sure I bought it. And I meant that genuinely. While the mechanism they ascribe seems plausible, I’m not yet convinced that the effect on non-protest goers is as large as they find.  But I thought it was at least an interesting theory. I will post if I see a paper that shows that the protests were a risk factor (and I welcome anyone who finds one to do so). I would hope that if contact tracing did find a cluster related to the protests that it would be reported.  Whether you support the protests or not, I’d rather future decisions be informed by data, and not priors.

BC

Oh I know, I remember your saying that. Looking forward to any further info you end up sharing.

[ChicagoCard]

I mean, the argument was based on an NBER paper with actual data from 315 of the largest US cities.  And I said that I wasn’t sure I bought it. And I meant that genuinely. While the mechanism they ascribe seems plausible, I’m not yet convinced that the effect on non-protest goers is as large as they find.  But I thought it was at least an interesting theory. I will post if I see a paper that shows that the protests were a risk factor (and I welcome anyone who finds one to do so). I would hope that if contact tracing did find a cluster related to the protests that it would be reported.  Whether you support the protests or not, I’d rather future decisions be informed by data, and not priors.

BC

Oh I know, I remember your saying that. Looking forward to any further info you end up sharing.