[SamuelMcF]

Earlier, I suggested a mulligan for the class of 2021, and here's the hard data per 247sports.com--which gives at least a ballpark accounting re: the state of affairs. 

Stanford has four commits, fewest of any power five school. According to 247sports.com, we've made 58 offers. Of the 54 who haven't committed to Stanford, 24 have committed elsewhere. So we have 30 non-committed offers as of July 14, and, per 247's crystal ball, and at the moment are favored to land two of them.

To get to 20 commits, we would need to land half of the non-committed offers and flip one current non-Stanford commit. More likely, with no additional offers, we might end up with a 10- to 12-person signing class.

Does that sound right to those in the know, or am I missing something?

We have 62 offers out, but only 1 of the 4 that 247 is missing is actually in play anyways. (Newly offered OL Andrew Leingang)

There are many more POSSIBLE flips than the just one you suggest. Uncertainty abound here. Could be 1, could be 4-5. Hell, it could (but my guess is unlikely) be zero. Keep in mind last year's 2 flips were the fewest flips under Shaw.

All that said, consensus indeed negative about the current state of affairs.

Bob is right on about the class size; I believe around 17.

[SamuelMcF]

Earlier, I suggested a mulligan for the class of 2021, and here's the hard data per 247sports.com--which gives at least a ballpark accounting re: the state of affairs. 

Stanford has four commits, fewest of any power five school. According to 247sports.com, we've made 58 offers. Of the 54 who haven't committed to Stanford, 24 have committed elsewhere. So we have 30 non-committed offers as of July 14, and, per 247's crystal ball, and at the moment are favored to land two of them.

To get to 20 commits, we would need to land half of the non-committed offers and flip one current non-Stanford commit. More likely, with no additional offers, we might end up with a 10- to 12-person signing class.

Does that sound right to those in the know, or am I missing something?

We have 62 offers out, but only 1 of the 4 that 247 is missing is actually in play anyways. (Newly offered OL Andrew Leingang)

There are many more POSSIBLE flips than the just one you suggest. Uncertainty abound here. Could be 1, could be 4-5. Hell, it could (but my guess is unlikely) be zero. Keep in mind last year's 2 flips were the fewest flips under Shaw.

All that said, consensus indeed negative about the current state of affairs.

Bob is right on about the class size; I believe around 17.