(10-20-2020, 05:21 PM)BostonCard Wrote:(10-20-2020, 04:38 PM)OutsiderFan Wrote: It's quite remarkable to see the deltas between cases and deaths in Italy in March, vs. now. Way more cases now than March, but way fewer deaths as well.
My concern is still that we don't know the long range impacts of having SARS-CoV-2 in the body in terms of lingering health impacts. If the masses conclude Covid is no big deal because not that many people die, and that comes with a vast number of people infected who have long-term health complications, that could well be a worst case scenario for economic damage from this virus.
Three factors:
1) Better testing: A larger share of milder cases are being tested and identified. It used to be that you had to be hospitalized to be tested, now a lot of patients with mild or even asymptomatic disease are being tested.
2) Improved case mix: A larger share of younger patients are getting the virus since a lot of the spread happened amongst younger patients going to bars and restaurants, while older patients are protecting themselves and being protected better.
3) Better treatment: Even adjusting for the above, doctors know how to reduce the mortality of COVID-19.
BC
BC. Were do you get the factual support that a lot of the spread among younger people occurred in bars and restaurants? Is that true in Califirnia? Where, for the most part bars and indoor dining have been closed for months. (Thus, its hard for me to believe that Calif spike had much if anything to do with bars and restaurants) You are not one to overstate etc. so I suspect you have the data. I’d like to see it. Thanks