[Genuine Realist]

I don’t think we will need to go on lockdown again, but we may see restrictions ratcheted up until cases level off and start coming down.

Real time case tracking would be invaluable to give us an idea of what the lowest hanging fruit are to restrict.

BC

To me, the issue on lockdowns is how long lasting the effect. If it is relatively temporary, only a palliative (as the European experience seems to show), what ultimately is the point? My own belief is that we are going to see more and more refined measures of social distancing, rather than an out-and-out lockdown.

As to China, sorry, but there is a credibility gap here. I'm not inclined to believe any posturing of that nation unless independently verified.

Masking and social distancing is so incontestably effective it is hard to see the point of resistance. Trump bears a heavy burden of responsibility for undercutting this. 

But the bottom line is that I don't think any nation has come up with a solution that balances out the various factors of economic distress and public health concern in a fully rational manner. There is an act-of-God quality to the Covid phenomenon that is often overlooked when we get down to 'mere politics'.

[Genuine Realist]

I don’t think we will need to go on lockdown again, but we may see restrictions ratcheted up until cases level off and start coming down.

Real time case tracking would be invaluable to give us an idea of what the lowest hanging fruit are to restrict.

BC

To me, the issue on lockdowns is how long lasting the effect. If it is relatively temporary, only a palliative (as the European experience seems to show), what ultimately is the point? My own belief is that we are going to see more and more refined measures of social distancing, rather than an out-and-out lockdown.

As to China, sorry, but there is a credibility gap here. I'm not inclined to believe any posturing of that nation unless independently verified.

Masking and social distancing is so incontestably effective it is hard to see the point of resistance. Trump bears a heavy burden of responsibility for undercutting this. 

But the bottom line is that I don't think any nation has come up with a solution that balances out the various factors of economic distress and public health concern in a fully rational manner. There is an act-of-God quality to the Covid phenomenon that is often overlooked when we get down to 'mere politics'.