10-29-2020, 06:00 PM
(10-29-2020, 04:55 PM)BostonCard Wrote: [tweet]https://twitter.com/axios/status/1321955121761189888?s=20[/tweet]88,000 places the USA above "Original" Stanford Stadium's one time capacity of ~86,000. So that passing that is noteworthy to me.
The 88,000 number is bad, but the real concerning aspect is that hospitals are starting to become strained. Over/under on breaking 100,000 cases by election day?
BC
100,000 is a big round number, but we are also close to exceeding the 107,601 of the Big House in Michigan. So that would mean something in the BigTen country.
To your odds -
Friday is likely the last potential day BEFORE election day.
Saturday, Sunday and Monday each have a weekend effect for different reasons.
Tuesday seems to serve as a catch-up day.
Friday is too soon for 100K.
Given Tuesday likely will have some cases from multiple prior days it is possible, but if that happens it will not be covered on that night.
Really wish it didn't seem inevitable, but Europe was on this path already. The cases exploded and then when it was really clear cases were out of control and hospitals were filling up the governments decided to take more decisive steps. We have a bigger base set of cases, we have fewer citizens trying to reduce the spread, and we have a national government that is not exactly working diligently to reinforce best practices for pandemic mitigation.
Even if decisive steps in the USA were taken tomorrow by citizens and the government the new cases we will see next week are already in the incubation phase. So we will hit 100,000 new cases and my guess is we will hit that number late NEXT week on Worldometers.

