10-31-2020, 02:52 PM
(10-31-2020, 01:21 PM)oldalum Wrote: It should be kept in mind that the NPI levers are very crude, blunt, slow tools; it takes weeks to start discerning the effects of moving them, and even then the data are difficult to tie to specific restrictions.Indeed this is true. It is also true that the ANNOUNCEMENT of a change in restrictions will often create a change in behavior in the populace that is not directly tied to the restrictions. Scare people a bit and they stay home. Say things are "getting better" and they go to the disco.