[teejers1]

The day Dr. Cody issued the no sports directive, SCC had 47 hospital admissions. On Sunday night, the even tighter restrictions were made, closing outdoor dining and limiting retail occupancy. Yesterday there were 75 new hospitalizations in SCC. The 7-day rolling avg. new reported infections is over 500.  

The SCC numbers are going up and it's not good.  Hospitalizations at 300 hundo, which is all-time high.

I still wonder what is driving this and where?

The LTCF dashboard's graph has not been updated since November 28th (and November was bad).  The text on "Last 14 days," however, does provide some indication on outbreaks there.  Specifically, in the last 14 days, there has been, at minimum 14 staff cases. Because they report <11 and not an exact number, it's possible that number is as high as 140, though I don't think anyone believes that. 14 - 28 strikes me as a reasonable estimate.

In addition to that figure, you've also had resident infections at LTCFs.  That figure is 24, minimum (with a theoretically possible high of 124, given <11 reporting for 10 of the 11 infected facilities, with the 11th reporting 14(!) positive tests).  Again, I suspect the actual number is a lot closer to 24 than 124.

So in last 14 days, a minimum 38 folks affiliated with LTCFs have contracted the virus - with an unknown total - your guesstimate is as good as mine (55-60?).  It's a decent supposition that a higher percent of LTCF patients, anyway, end up in hospitals than the general population.  But even if you say 50 of the hospitalizations are attributable to LTCFs, you still have 250 non-LTCF patients.  That is a problem in "the general population," who are not acting responsibly enough.

It would be nice to have a little more transparency on LTCF numbers, for sure.  But we have what we have.

BTW, the point made by SMC Health Administrator that rings the most truthful is that it doesn't matter what formal regulations are, people in their everyday lives need to be smart about distancing and masks for this thing to be sufficiently contained.  That's it.

[teejers1]

The day Dr. Cody issued the no sports directive, SCC had 47 hospital admissions. On Sunday night, the even tighter restrictions were made, closing outdoor dining and limiting retail occupancy. Yesterday there were 75 new hospitalizations in SCC. The 7-day rolling avg. new reported infections is over 500.  

The SCC numbers are going up and it's not good.  Hospitalizations at 300 hundo, which is all-time high.

I still wonder what is driving this and where?

The LTCF dashboard's graph has not been updated since November 28th (and November was bad).  The text on "Last 14 days," however, does provide some indication on outbreaks there.  Specifically, in the last 14 days, there has been, at minimum 14 staff cases. Because they report <11 and not an exact number, it's possible that number is as high as 140, though I don't think anyone believes that. 14 - 28 strikes me as a reasonable estimate.

In addition to that figure, you've also had resident infections at LTCFs.  That figure is 24, minimum (with a theoretically possible high of 124, given <11 reporting for 10 of the 11 infected facilities, with the 11th reporting 14(!) positive tests).  Again, I suspect the actual number is a lot closer to 24 than 124.

So in last 14 days, a minimum 38 folks affiliated with LTCFs have contracted the virus - with an unknown total - your guesstimate is as good as mine (55-60?).  It's a decent supposition that a higher percent of LTCF patients, anyway, end up in hospitals than the general population.  But even if you say 50 of the hospitalizations are attributable to LTCFs, you still have 250 non-LTCF patients.  That is a problem in "the general population," who are not acting responsibly enough.

It would be nice to have a little more transparency on LTCF numbers, for sure.  But we have what we have.

BTW, the point made by SMC Health Administrator that rings the most truthful is that it doesn't matter what formal regulations are, people in their everyday lives need to be smart about distancing and masks for this thing to be sufficiently contained.  That's it.