[ca245]

Being #1 or #2 overall seed would matter if there are 3 elite teams and then a sharp drop off. If seedings  were to  hold, #2/#3 would have to play each other and then #1 to win the NC, while #1 would only have to play one of #2/#3; an easier path. (This used to happen all the time in MWP NCAAs as MPSF teams were way better than the other teams but only 3 of them made the tournament. However, this year 4 MPSF teams were selected.)
This year there are two elite WBB teams (us and UConn) followed by closely bunched teams that the NCAA committee could arrange any number of ways on the S-curve. So, I am less interested in whether we are #1 or #2 overall than which specific teams will be in our bracket for the Sweet Sixteen and Elite Eight.

[ca245]

Being #1 or #2 overall seed would matter if there are 3 elite teams and then a sharp drop off. If seedings  were to  hold, #2/#3 would have to play each other and then #1 to win the NC, while #1 would only have to play one of #2/#3; an easier path. (This used to happen all the time in MWP NCAAs as MPSF teams were way better than the other teams but only 3 of them made the tournament. However, this year 4 MPSF teams were selected.)
This year there are two elite WBB teams (us and UConn) followed by closely bunched teams that the NCAA committee could arrange any number of ways on the S-curve. So, I am less interested in whether we are #1 or #2 overall than which specific teams will be in our bracket for the Sweet Sixteen and Elite Eight.