[BostonCard]

Niners are 5.5 point underdogs, and New Orleans is a 4.5 point favorite.

Historically, that translates to a 31% chance of winning for the Niners and a 67% chance of winning for New Orleans.  Thus, the chance of a Niner win or a New Orleans tie or loss is 60%.  So a bit better than your subjective feeling.

BC

[BostonCard]

Niners are 5.5 point underdogs, and New Orleans is a 4.5 point favorite.

Historically, that translates to a 31% chance of winning for the Niners and a 67% chance of winning for New Orleans.  Thus, the chance of a Niner win or a New Orleans tie or loss is 60%.  So a bit better than your subjective feeling.

BC