[teejers1]

Good chance they will have to release him. That’s only a 1.4 million cap hit.  It’s not JG’s fault that the Niners overpaid him.  (I read that his cap hit is the highest percentage of any player in the league.). He’s a solid QB in the 8 games or so a year that he’s actually healthy.  But he’s not worth anything close to $27 million.  And that, coupled with a franchise decision to trade multiple first rounders for Lance, leads to the obvious conclusion that he will be gone next year.

Strongly disagree, there's a good market for him. His health is a wild card which could make him untradeable, but if he checks out physically his salary is actually reasonable relative to his ability, and there will be teams willing to give up a day two pick for him.

We have very different perceptions of his market so we'll have to wait and see. I do agree that he's likely playing elsewhere next year.

Agreed.  Right now, he's not even a Top 10 paid QB (#10 is Matt Ryan at $30 million), but he's #9 in regular season passer rating and #13 in QBR.  Seems appropriate.

I don't think that analysis is the correct one. 
The correct one is what would a team sign Jimmy for if they could do so on the open market?  
Do you think anyone would throw $27M at him for one year?  I do not.  
Pay $27M AND give up a R3 draft pick for him?  Sounds crazy to me.

And let's be real, passer rating isn't the definitive measure to rank NFL QBs.  There are 15 other QBs teams would take over Jimmy.  Off the top of my head:  Mahomes, Allen, Burrows, Brady, Rodgers, Stafford, Herbert, Carr, Dak, Murray, Wilson, Cousins, Jackson, Mills, Lawrence, and Goff.  There may be others (Mac Jones?); and you might dispute one or two from that list.  But still, the point holds.  Jimmy ain't 10th best QB in league despite passer rating.

[teejers1]

Good chance they will have to release him. That’s only a 1.4 million cap hit.  It’s not JG’s fault that the Niners overpaid him.  (I read that his cap hit is the highest percentage of any player in the league.). He’s a solid QB in the 8 games or so a year that he’s actually healthy.  But he’s not worth anything close to $27 million.  And that, coupled with a franchise decision to trade multiple first rounders for Lance, leads to the obvious conclusion that he will be gone next year.

Strongly disagree, there's a good market for him. His health is a wild card which could make him untradeable, but if he checks out physically his salary is actually reasonable relative to his ability, and there will be teams willing to give up a day two pick for him.

We have very different perceptions of his market so we'll have to wait and see. I do agree that he's likely playing elsewhere next year.

Agreed.  Right now, he's not even a Top 10 paid QB (#10 is Matt Ryan at $30 million), but he's #9 in regular season passer rating and #13 in QBR.  Seems appropriate.

I don't think that analysis is the correct one. 
The correct one is what would a team sign Jimmy for if they could do so on the open market?  
Do you think anyone would throw $27M at him for one year?  I do not.  
Pay $27M AND give up a R3 draft pick for him?  Sounds crazy to me.

And let's be real, passer rating isn't the definitive measure to rank NFL QBs.  There are 15 other QBs teams would take over Jimmy.  Off the top of my head:  Mahomes, Allen, Burrows, Brady, Rodgers, Stafford, Herbert, Carr, Dak, Murray, Wilson, Cousins, Jackson, Mills, Lawrence, and Goff.  There may be others (Mac Jones?); and you might dispute one or two from that list.  But still, the point holds.  Jimmy ain't 10th best QB in league despite passer rating.