02-11-2022, 04:18 PM
It looks like 2022 recruiting/transfer activity for Stanford is over and done? I think a few more HS recruits/transfers may leave or enter Pac-12 programs, but this thread probably does not need to be pinned any more.
But I do have one last thought regarding recruiting. In terms of high school recruits, it looks like Stanford will finish with a top 20 class at/near the top of the conference, which is where it needs to be considering our inability to acquire very much talent through the transfer portal.
Speaking of transfers, USC has the top-ranked 2022 transfer class according to 247sports, due in no small part to incoming 5-star QB Caleb Williams. But they are only ranking entering talent and ignoring the eligible talent that has departed (e.g. outgoing five-star QB Jaxson Dart).
So here's an inelegant, somewhat clunky solution based in part of a past effort of mine. I calculated the transfer portal +/- ranking of Pac-12 schools, using 247sports star rankings and added to that the total number of incoming stars from HS recruits:
Stanford: -22 transfer stars (stars in less stars out) + 73 HS recruiting stars = 51 net stars
Arizona: -28 + 71 = 43
Utah: -13 + 54 = 41
Oregon: -15 + 52 = 37
Oregon State: -14 + 48 = 34
Washington State: -28 + 57 = 29
Cal: -13 + 40 = 27
Arizona State: +1 + 25 = 26
USC: -5 + 30 = 25
Colorado: -46 + 69 = 23
UCLA: -22 + 39 = 17
Washington: -19 + 28 = 9
Of course, there's no reckoning for players lost to graduation, retirement, etc., incoming freshmen or weighted the same as incoming/outgoing transfers and there's no reckoning for positions of need (like losing your top two rushers over the past two years). On the other hand, Stanford comes out on top with this system, so I don't think I'll make any adjustments...
But I do have one last thought regarding recruiting. In terms of high school recruits, it looks like Stanford will finish with a top 20 class at/near the top of the conference, which is where it needs to be considering our inability to acquire very much talent through the transfer portal.
Speaking of transfers, USC has the top-ranked 2022 transfer class according to 247sports, due in no small part to incoming 5-star QB Caleb Williams. But they are only ranking entering talent and ignoring the eligible talent that has departed (e.g. outgoing five-star QB Jaxson Dart).
So here's an inelegant, somewhat clunky solution based in part of a past effort of mine. I calculated the transfer portal +/- ranking of Pac-12 schools, using 247sports star rankings and added to that the total number of incoming stars from HS recruits:
Stanford: -22 transfer stars (stars in less stars out) + 73 HS recruiting stars = 51 net stars
Arizona: -28 + 71 = 43
Utah: -13 + 54 = 41
Oregon: -15 + 52 = 37
Oregon State: -14 + 48 = 34
Washington State: -28 + 57 = 29
Cal: -13 + 40 = 27
Arizona State: +1 + 25 = 26
USC: -5 + 30 = 25
Colorado: -46 + 69 = 23
UCLA: -22 + 39 = 17
Washington: -19 + 28 = 9
Of course, there's no reckoning for players lost to graduation, retirement, etc., incoming freshmen or weighted the same as incoming/outgoing transfers and there's no reckoning for positions of need (like losing your top two rushers over the past two years). On the other hand, Stanford comes out on top with this system, so I don't think I'll make any adjustments...
If there's one thing people have learned in Berkeley, it's that you can't put "Cal football" and "Rose Bowl" in the same sentence. The words just don't fit. You'd be better off linking "covered wagons" with "Mars travel." (Bruce Jenkins, Cal '70, SF Chronicle, Nov. 11, 2017)
