[TheWildJacko]

NC State for sure, and then Michigan. I think UCONN has more weapons, and we may have trouble defending UCONN's guards, esp. Fudd and Bueckers. Michigan's primary strength is in the post with Naz Hillmon; we have the inside presence to negate her. Louisville has great guards as well, so I'd think they'd be more problematic for us.

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Here are our chances against our remaining potential opponents, according to FiveThirtyEight (% that we win the matchup):

Final Four Semis: 

vs. UCONN: 55%
vs. NC State: 48%

Title Game:

vs. Louisville: 59%
vs. Michigan: 75%
vs. S. Carolina: 33%

Interesting that they have us favored slightly favored against UCONN, but not against NC State, despite giving 50-50 odds for either UCONN or NC State to win their game today.

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Her Hoop Stats agrees. Here are their predictions for neutral court matchups with each team:

(% chance of Stanford victory, predicted margin)
UCONN: 57.7% chance, +2.1 points
NC State: 44.9% chance, -1.5 points
Louisville: 59.1% chance, +2.6 points
Michigan: 72.6% chance, +6.8 points
S. Carolina: 36.1% chance, -3.9 points

[TheWildJacko]

NC State for sure, and then Michigan. I think UCONN has more weapons, and we may have trouble defending UCONN's guards, esp. Fudd and Bueckers. Michigan's primary strength is in the post with Naz Hillmon; we have the inside presence to negate her. Louisville has great guards as well, so I'd think they'd be more problematic for us.

---

Here are our chances against our remaining potential opponents, according to FiveThirtyEight (% that we win the matchup):

Final Four Semis: 

vs. UCONN: 55%
vs. NC State: 48%

Title Game:

vs. Louisville: 59%
vs. Michigan: 75%
vs. S. Carolina: 33%

Interesting that they have us favored slightly favored against UCONN, but not against NC State, despite giving 50-50 odds for either UCONN or NC State to win their game today.

---

Her Hoop Stats agrees. Here are their predictions for neutral court matchups with each team:

(% chance of Stanford victory, predicted margin)
UCONN: 57.7% chance, +2.1 points
NC State: 44.9% chance, -1.5 points
Louisville: 59.1% chance, +2.6 points
Michigan: 72.6% chance, +6.8 points
S. Carolina: 36.1% chance, -3.9 points