[OutsiderFan]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/MlFootballStats/status/1522224153037873153[/tweet]

Passer rating isn't a good stat, and it's a terrible stat for a player in an offense/system with the advantages the Niners provide. Jimmy G had a higher passer rating last year than Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert. Nobody should think Jimmy was better than those two. Total QBR is a much better stat. In games with 15+ attempts Lance had QBRs of 31.4, 25.9, and 40.6 and his season QBR was 33.4. If he qualified that would have been 29th of 32 NFL QBs. Jimmy, on a much bigger sample, was 13th.

And Lance was a rookie, youngest NFL player in 2021, with the least experience of any rookie QB. He will absolutely be better in year 2 than year 1, and likely better in year 3 than 2. The question is how much better, and will it turn out to have been worth what was given up to get him. Based on what we have seen so far, and his background, no credible argument can be made that he wasn't worth it.  And I would argue there are more reasons to believe he will be than won't, they are:

1. The Niners are ready to part with Garoppolo.  
2. Lance was much, much better in the 2nd half of his 2nd start than the first half of his first start.
3. Positive things Niners players have said about Lance and the fact no disparaging things have been leaked about him.
4. The way he has handled himself and been a professional with no attitude or drama.

All he has to be is a slightly better than Garoppolo for the trade to have been worth it because getting QBs even that good is exceptionally difficult.

[OutsiderFan]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/MlFootballStats/status/1522224153037873153[/tweet]

Passer rating isn't a good stat, and it's a terrible stat for a player in an offense/system with the advantages the Niners provide. Jimmy G had a higher passer rating last year than Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert. Nobody should think Jimmy was better than those two. Total QBR is a much better stat. In games with 15+ attempts Lance had QBRs of 31.4, 25.9, and 40.6 and his season QBR was 33.4. If he qualified that would have been 29th of 32 NFL QBs. Jimmy, on a much bigger sample, was 13th.

And Lance was a rookie, youngest NFL player in 2021, with the least experience of any rookie QB. He will absolutely be better in year 2 than year 1, and likely better in year 3 than 2. The question is how much better, and will it turn out to have been worth what was given up to get him. Based on what we have seen so far, and his background, no credible argument can be made that he wasn't worth it.  And I would argue there are more reasons to believe he will be than won't, they are:

1. The Niners are ready to part with Garoppolo.  
2. Lance was much, much better in the 2nd half of his 2nd start than the first half of his first start.
3. Positive things Niners players have said about Lance and the fact no disparaging things have been leaked about him.
4. The way he has handled himself and been a professional with no attitude or drama.

All he has to be is a slightly better than Garoppolo for the trade to have been worth it because getting QBs even that good is exceptionally difficult.