11-23-2022, 04:06 PM
(11-22-2022, 10:46 PM)BostonCard Wrote:(11-22-2022, 10:58 AM)SamuelMcF Wrote: I'm not gonna bet on the game, but the key question here is: assuming we put up something in the 13-21 point range, will BYU put up 37-45+ to hit the over of 58?
Probably. To me, it is the line that seems off; giving 6.5 points against this Stanford team, seems a bit stingy. I don't bet either, but I could see a final that is something like 39-19, which gets you the over and takes into account Stanford's futility.
BC
I think you've just picked the winning prediction. Stanford's total of 19 translates to one TD and 4 Karty FGs. The BYU total of 39 could be off by one point: 5 TDs and a FG. So how about 38-19? Might also be 38-16. We might breach 20 with a 2 TD and 3 FG output (23 total points). However you calculate it, we lose. By quarter:
Q1: BYU 14 Stanford 7
Half: BYU 17 Stanford 10
Q3: BYU 31 Stanford 16
End: BYU 38 Stanford 19 (or 23)
If 19 is the final total, it's because Shaw lets Karty kick a 65-yarder with under one minute to play. Karty is a beast.
