[Mick]

In looking at the Giants' free agent acquisitions, you have the following individuals, with their best recent WAR over the past few years:


Conforto, 3.9
Manaea, 3.1
Haniger, 3.1
Stripling, 2.7
Rogers, 0.4

Let's also take into account that the Giants keep Pederson's 2.8 offensive WAR, but given that he'll be playing DH, they lose his -2.1 WAR.

They lose Rodon's 5.4 WAR, but get back DeSclefani's 4.2 WAR.

Net/net effect, absolute best case, that's 14.1 WAR added. Let's say not everything goes according to plan, and the Giants get half that, seven extra WAR. Added to their 81 wins this year, that puts them at 88 wins in 2023...again, if they get half the WAR they want to see.  The bottom seed in the playoffs had 87 wins last year.  83 wins would have done it in 2021, 86 would have done it in 2019.

Then, factor into account the new rules (infield shifts, 20 second pitch counts, bigger bases, fewer pickoff attempts) which are likely to favor both the Giants' fielders and hitters.

WAR is an overused, overrated”stat” .

Based on...what?

What single metric do you prefer to compare players?

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/1642...-statistic

[Mick]

In looking at the Giants' free agent acquisitions, you have the following individuals, with their best recent WAR over the past few years:


Conforto, 3.9
Manaea, 3.1
Haniger, 3.1
Stripling, 2.7
Rogers, 0.4

Let's also take into account that the Giants keep Pederson's 2.8 offensive WAR, but given that he'll be playing DH, they lose his -2.1 WAR.

They lose Rodon's 5.4 WAR, but get back DeSclefani's 4.2 WAR.

Net/net effect, absolute best case, that's 14.1 WAR added. Let's say not everything goes according to plan, and the Giants get half that, seven extra WAR. Added to their 81 wins this year, that puts them at 88 wins in 2023...again, if they get half the WAR they want to see.  The bottom seed in the playoffs had 87 wins last year.  83 wins would have done it in 2021, 86 would have done it in 2019.

Then, factor into account the new rules (infield shifts, 20 second pitch counts, bigger bases, fewer pickoff attempts) which are likely to favor both the Giants' fielders and hitters.

WAR is an overused, overrated”stat” .

Based on...what?

What single metric do you prefer to compare players?

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/1642...-statistic