(02-21-2023, 01:52 PM)81alum Wrote: For the Pac 12 tournament, seedings get complicated when two teams are tied. The tiebreakers are explained on the Pac 12 standings page:
https://pac-12.com/womens-basketball-standings
Here are the mostly likely (and some less likely) possibilities:
If we lose at Colorado and lose at Utah, and we assume that Cal loses to both also, then the Pac 12 seedings would be:
1) Utah 15-3
2) Stanford 14-4
3) Colorado 14-4
Stanford and Colorado would go to a tiebreaker, which would be how they performed against Utah, and since each is 1-1 they would go to the next tiebreaker, which we can't predict just yet but would probably be how they each performed against Arizona or perhaps UCLA. Stanford wins either of those tiebreakers since we beat Arizona twice and Colorado is 1-1 against Arizona. If UCLA, we are 2-0 and Colorado is 1-0 so it would go to the Arizona tiebreaker, so we win again.
If we beat Colorado and lose at Utah, and we assume that Cal loses to both also, then the Pac 12 seedings would be:
1) Stanford 15-3
2) Utah 15-3
3) Colorado 13-5
Stanford and Utah would be tied, but Stanford get the tiebreaker because it beat Colorado twice and Utah was 1-1 against Colorado.
If we lose at Colorado and win at Utah, and we assume that Cal loses to both also, then the Pac 12 seedings would be:
1) Stanford 15-3
2) Utah 15-3
3) Colorado 13-5
In this case, Stanford and Utah have the same records vs. Colorado, so it would go to the 4th place team--likely Arizona. Stanford is 2-0 against Arizona while Utah is 1-1 against them. We win that tiebreaker.
Finally, if Stanford wins at Colorado and at Utah, and Cal loses at both, it is easy for us of course:
1) Stanford 16-2
2) Utah 14-4
3) Colorado 13-5
Basically, so long as we win one of two, we will have the top seed.
Less likely scenarios involve Cal winning one or two games in the mountains, USC somehow rising to 4th place and thus becoming a tiebreaker team, etc. The odds of USC winning out and Arizona and UCLA both losing 2 are pretty slim. However, if this were to happen, then Utah wins the tiebreaker with us since it is 1-0 against USC.
If the Pac 12 tournament were seeded today, here is how it would look. Note we might have to play Washington again, but would likely avoid USC.
Play in Day:
5) UCLA vs. 12) ASU
8) Washington vs. 9) Oregon
7) WSU vs 10) Cal
6) USC vs 11) Oregon State
Quarters if seeds held true:
1) Stanford vs. 8/9 winner (Washington)
2) Utah vs. 7/10 winner (WSU)
3) Colorado vs. 6/11 winner (USC)
4) Arizona vs. 5/12 winner (UCLA)
Semis if seeds held true:
1) Stanford vs 4) Arizona
2) Utah vs. 3) Colorado
Finals if seeds held true:
1) Stanford vs. 2) Utah
triaddukefan on the UConn Boneyard message board posts a link to this tool for determining conference tournament seedings: http://bball.notnothing.net/pac12.php?sport=wbb
I've linked the page for the Pac-12 wbb. Click on the school to choose the winners of each of the two remaining games (it will highlight your selected winners in red with yellow border). Click on the "Calculate Seeds" button to display the seedings for conference tournament bracket. You can navigate to other conference tournaments (men's and women's) from the pulldown menus at the top of the webpage.