10-12-2023, 08:25 PM
(10-12-2023, 05:31 PM)Goose Wrote:(10-12-2023, 05:18 PM)dabigv13 Wrote: I am uncertain of Iran's involvement. It's certainly possible, they have some plausible motivations. But to me this smells more of a miscalculation by Hamas rather than something done at Iran's direction.IMO it probably was a decision solely by Hamas. What Iran knew and when they knew it is IMO unclear. I don't think it was a "miscalculation". I think Hamas knew exactly what the result would be. This is an action that clearly was planned over a very long period of time. It wasn't done on impulse. Hamas wouldn't waste this action on a whim.
The lack of significant direct and immediate action by Hezbollah make me believe Iran didn't order this action. They would want maximum effect and a coordinated action, which this was not.
FWIW, I disagree. I think this was a classic case of the dog catching the car. Hammas thought they would kill a couple of jews and maybe take a hostage or two. They had no idea that their attack would work this well.
The consequences at this point are going to be horrific.