[BostonCard]

The full analysis would also look at the expected point value of a first and ten at around the opponent’s forty, multiplied by the probability of converting.

I think it is funny that many of the same people who excoriated Shaw for punting from the opponent’s side of the field are also criticizing Taylor for going for it.

Here’s the bottom line, we lost 49-7.  Even under the best of circumstances, where we kick a field goal from the 41 to get us to 10 points, and the extra distance that Notre Dame has to cover makes a difference between a touchdown and no points (happened twice; the third and last time we failed to convert, the game ended on Notre Dame’s ensuing possession).  So, even under the best of circumstances that’s a 35-10 Notre Dame win instead of 49-7; still a beatdown.  More likely, Notre Dame scores anyway and the game is not markedly different from 49-7.

BC

[BostonCard]

The full analysis would also look at the expected point value of a first and ten at around the opponent’s forty, multiplied by the probability of converting.

I think it is funny that many of the same people who excoriated Shaw for punting from the opponent’s side of the field are also criticizing Taylor for going for it.

Here’s the bottom line, we lost 49-7.  Even under the best of circumstances, where we kick a field goal from the 41 to get us to 10 points, and the extra distance that Notre Dame has to cover makes a difference between a touchdown and no points (happened twice; the third and last time we failed to convert, the game ended on Notre Dame’s ensuing possession).  So, even under the best of circumstances that’s a 35-10 Notre Dame win instead of 49-7; still a beatdown.  More likely, Notre Dame scores anyway and the game is not markedly different from 49-7.

BC