12-20-2024, 05:53 PM
(12-20-2024, 12:46 PM)Mick Wrote: Good move for Elic. He's #47 in the ESPN pre-draft assessment. Unlikely he would have gone higher.
As for next season:
Hawaii, win
BYU, win
SJSU, win
Miami, loss
North Carolina, win over hugely overrated new coach
SMU, loss
Boston College, loss
Cal, win
Florida State, win
Pitt, loss
Virginia, loss
6-6 overall. LA Bowl, same as Cal this year. Fresno State opponent.
Wow, it's been a while since I've looked at that schedule. It's brutal, especially when you consider that ND is expected to be the 12th team. (We're still assuming this, right?)
We have bigger problems than not having Elic - good for him to go get his money. He was the hero in our most exciting wins, but it's a team sport and we have other complete voids on our roster that made us very easy to beat. (For example, I'll start feeling better if we can sign a couple more offensive linemen who are proven above-average starters.)
Here are the current Sagarin ratings for next year's schedule.
#1 ND (TBD)
#10 SMU
#15 Miami
#17 BYU
#50 BC
#52 Pitt
#64 Cal
#67 UNC
#75 Virginia
#82 FSU
#101 SJSU
#114 Hawaii
------------
#97 Stanford
The only reason we had 3 wins this year was the presence of Cal Poly (a sure win) on our schedule. SJSU can go 7-5 while being the #101 team in the country, but against our schedule, it seems like we'll have to get to around #60 (or maybe even as high as #40) to go 6-6. NC State went 6-6 this year at #60 against the 65th hardest schedule, whereas our schedule will likely be top 20 in strength. (Our strength of schedule was #21 this season with Cal Poly included.) Arkansas went 6-6 this year as the #43 team against the #22 schedule. Nothing is getting any easier for us...
Back to Elic - he put in a ton of work to pull a 3.96 in Computer Science. I hope he finishes his degree at some point because he has already done way too much work to waste.
