[Mick]

18. Verlander needs to win 13.

Wow!  That’s optimistic.  I think 10 is pretty much all we can expect. 

I think you're right on the ten wins, based upon the records of other 42 year old pitchers:

Warren Spahn, 23-7, All Star
Randy Johnson, 17-11
Nolan Ryan was 16-10, All Star
David Wells, 15-7
Bartolo Colon, 14-13
Roger Clemens, 13-8
Jamie Moyer, 13-7
Dennis Martinez, 9-6
Gaylord Perry, 8-9
Phil Niekro, 7-7 (but was 17-4 the next year...and a knuckleballer)
Jim Kaat, 6-6
John Smoltz, 3-8
Kenny Rogers, 3-4

[Mick]

18. Verlander needs to win 13.

Wow!  That’s optimistic.  I think 10 is pretty much all we can expect. 

I think you're right on the ten wins, based upon the records of other 42 year old pitchers:

Warren Spahn, 23-7, All Star
Randy Johnson, 17-11
Nolan Ryan was 16-10, All Star
David Wells, 15-7
Bartolo Colon, 14-13
Roger Clemens, 13-8
Jamie Moyer, 13-7
Dennis Martinez, 9-6
Gaylord Perry, 8-9
Phil Niekro, 7-7 (but was 17-4 the next year...and a knuckleballer)
Jim Kaat, 6-6
John Smoltz, 3-8
Kenny Rogers, 3-4