[OCcardinal]

I’d say overall we gave ourselves a better chance to score over the course of the match, but the advantage wasn’t so overwhelming; both sides had some good chances, either side could have won, and they just got the one that we couldn’t stop.

NCAA - Stanford vs Florida State

xG (Post-Shot xG)

1.78 (2.03) - Stanford
1.60 (0.94) - Florida State

The post-shot xG differential shows that Stanford created and took shots from better and more dangerous positions than FSU (closer to goal, clearer sightlines, less pressure) and then executed the shots exceptionally well (much better than FSU executed). The FSU goalkeeper just had an all-time NCAA finals goalkeeping performance. Stanford's post-shot xG in the Michigan State, where it scored 5 goals, was only slightly higher at 2.37.  And last year, when we failed to score against Wake Forest in the semis, our post-shot xG was 0.43. This might hurt even more given how well the team actually played.

[OCcardinal]

I’d say overall we gave ourselves a better chance to score over the course of the match, but the advantage wasn’t so overwhelming; both sides had some good chances, either side could have won, and they just got the one that we couldn’t stop.

NCAA - Stanford vs Florida State

xG (Post-Shot xG)

1.78 (2.03) - Stanford
1.60 (0.94) - Florida State

The post-shot xG differential shows that Stanford created and took shots from better and more dangerous positions than FSU (closer to goal, clearer sightlines, less pressure) and then executed the shots exceptionally well (much better than FSU executed). The FSU goalkeeper just had an all-time NCAA finals goalkeeping performance. Stanford's post-shot xG in the Michigan State, where it scored 5 goals, was only slightly higher at 2.37.  And last year, when we failed to score against Wake Forest in the semis, our post-shot xG was 0.43. This might hurt even more given how well the team actually played.