[msqueri]

I tend to model win probabilities more based on Sagarin. That gives us a 28.9 percent chance of reaching five and 6.2 percent chance of reaching six. There's a 28.8 percent chance we don't win another game. Clearly 3-4 wins on the season is still the modal outcome, as it always has been.

[msqueri]

I tend to model win probabilities more based on Sagarin. That gives us a 28.9 percent chance of reaching five and 6.2 percent chance of reaching six. There's a 28.8 percent chance we don't win another game. Clearly 3-4 wins on the season is still the modal outcome, as it always has been.