[KartyFan]

I'm going to have to politely ask you to use a better source for odds than Kalshi buddy.  Please don't help legitimize those feral jackals.  They're worse than noise.

Any sources for that last claim?

Well, theres the recent caee of the guy found to be putting out fake polls and then insider trading on polymarket on the races he put out fake polls on.

BC

Oh, for sure there are cases of manipulation. And low-volume markets put out wonky/wrong probabilities.

But generally speaking, it’s a betting/prediction market and is a useful data point, just as Vegas odds are more useful than pundits on ESPN. 

And if anyone disagrees, you have a great money making opportunity on Kalshi :)

To be clear, I am not arguing that Kalshi and similar providers are on balance good for society.

[KartyFan]

I'm going to have to politely ask you to use a better source for odds than Kalshi buddy.  Please don't help legitimize those feral jackals.  They're worse than noise.

Any sources for that last claim?

Well, theres the recent caee of the guy found to be putting out fake polls and then insider trading on polymarket on the races he put out fake polls on.

BC

Oh, for sure there are cases of manipulation. And low-volume markets put out wonky/wrong probabilities.

But generally speaking, it’s a betting/prediction market and is a useful data point, just as Vegas odds are more useful than pundits on ESPN. 

And if anyone disagrees, you have a great money making opportunity on Kalshi :)

To be clear, I am not arguing that Kalshi and similar providers are on balance good for society.