[BostonCard]

SF88--

My thought was, after the win in Haas, that they would have to win 3 of 4 at home and 2 of 4 on the road, to finish at 11-7, 20-10 overall, and win one game in the conference tourney.  UW in Seattle was probably the second-easiest road game they had left. So now they either have to win both at WSU and ASU or UofA, OR show an ability to beat UCLA at home.  Without pulling another stinker like last night in any of their remaining other home games, say against a back-on-balance Colorado.

After watching yet another late game collapse of the offense, I'm not at all sanguine.

VG

Yup, I agree with you.  Our margin for error continues to drop.  I think UW is the last "should have won" that we could afford to lose.  My guess is we can lose two more games: Arizona on the road and UCLA at home, plus one more game in the conference tournament.  That means we'll have to beat Colorado at home and ASU on the road, and not totally blow a game (like USC or Utah at home, or WSU on the road).  We probably do have to win our opening round game in the tournament as well, but assuming we are not in the top-4, that should be against a bottom of the P12 team.

BC

[BostonCard]

SF88--

My thought was, after the win in Haas, that they would have to win 3 of 4 at home and 2 of 4 on the road, to finish at 11-7, 20-10 overall, and win one game in the conference tourney.  UW in Seattle was probably the second-easiest road game they had left. So now they either have to win both at WSU and ASU or UofA, OR show an ability to beat UCLA at home.  Without pulling another stinker like last night in any of their remaining other home games, say against a back-on-balance Colorado.

After watching yet another late game collapse of the offense, I'm not at all sanguine.

VG

Yup, I agree with you.  Our margin for error continues to drop.  I think UW is the last "should have won" that we could afford to lose.  My guess is we can lose two more games: Arizona on the road and UCLA at home, plus one more game in the conference tournament.  That means we'll have to beat Colorado at home and ASU on the road, and not totally blow a game (like USC or Utah at home, or WSU on the road).  We probably do have to win our opening round game in the tournament as well, but assuming we are not in the top-4, that should be against a bottom of the P12 team.

BC