11-27-2018, 01:52 PM
(This post was last modified: 11-27-2018, 02:36 PM by TreesAndBirds.)
Quote:Losing AT&T cannot be framed as anything other than a blow to the conference and commissioner Larry Scott — the networks are his brainchild; he is their chief executive.
But that’s due as much to the awful optics — to getting dropped by a partner of AT&T’s stature — as to the real-world impact.
The Pac-12 Networks are in approximately 20 million homes nationwide, with Comcast, Cox and DISH collectively occupying a significant share of the subscribers.
Our best guess is that approximately 400,000 – 500,000 subs watch the Pac-12 Networks on U-verse.
If we estimate a price point of approximately 85 cents per subscriber per month, that equates to roughly $5 million per year, or about $400,000 per school per year.
That’s 1.5 percent of the annual distribution paid by the conference to each campus (approximately $30 million per school).
Quote:Losing AT&T cannot be framed as anything other than a blow to the conference and commissioner Larry Scott — the networks are his brainchild; he is their chief executive.
But that’s due as much to the awful optics — to getting dropped by a partner of AT&T’s stature — as to the real-world impact.
The Pac-12 Networks are in approximately 20 million homes nationwide, with Comcast, Cox and DISH collectively occupying a significant share of the subscribers.
Our best guess is that approximately 400,000 – 500,000 subs watch the Pac-12 Networks on U-verse.
If we estimate a price point of approximately 85 cents per subscriber per month, that equates to roughly $5 million per year, or about $400,000 per school per year.
That’s 1.5 percent of the annual distribution paid by the conference to each campus (approximately $30 million per school).
(11-28-2018, 11:48 AM)yvonne Wrote: I've not been a fan of many of the TV changes that have happened under Scott. The one I'll never understand is Pac-12 After Dark. Games are already later than in other areas by dint of being in the Pacific time zone. So why put them later?
(11-28-2018, 11:48 AM)yvonne Wrote: I've not been a fan of many of the TV changes that have happened under Scott. The one I'll never understand is Pac-12 After Dark. Games are already later than in other areas by dint of being in the Pacific time zone. So why put them later?
(11-28-2018, 11:48 AM)yvonne Wrote: I've not been a fan of many of the TV changes that have happened under Scott. The one I'll never understand is Pac-12 After Dark. Games are already later than in other areas by dint of being in the Pacific time zone. So why put them later?
(11-28-2018, 11:48 AM)yvonne Wrote: I've not been a fan of many of the TV changes that have happened under Scott. The one I'll never understand is Pac-12 After Dark. Games are already later than in other areas by dint of being in the Pacific time zone. So why put them later?
(11-28-2018, 12:47 PM)CTcard Wrote:(11-28-2018, 11:48 AM)yvonne Wrote: I've not been a fan of many of the TV changes that have happened under Scott. The one I'll never understand is Pac-12 After Dark. Games are already later than in other areas by dint of being in the Pacific time zone. So why put them later?
They were put later because the TV networks offered more money if the Pac 12 would put more games later.
It's been a year or more since I looked this up, but at that time it turned out that Pac 12 games in these later slots got bigger audiences than the Pac 12 games in early slots. Apparently this is because the TV networks are correct, and the competition with other games is more decisive than the competition with sleeping (or other night activities).
(11-28-2018, 12:47 PM)CTcard Wrote:(11-28-2018, 11:48 AM)yvonne Wrote: I've not been a fan of many of the TV changes that have happened under Scott. The one I'll never understand is Pac-12 After Dark. Games are already later than in other areas by dint of being in the Pacific time zone. So why put them later?
They were put later because the TV networks offered more money if the Pac 12 would put more games later.
It's been a year or more since I looked this up, but at that time it turned out that Pac 12 games in these later slots got bigger audiences than the Pac 12 games in early slots. Apparently this is because the TV networks are correct, and the competition with other games is more decisive than the competition with sleeping (or other night activities).
(11-28-2018, 12:51 PM)yvonne Wrote:(11-28-2018, 12:47 PM)CTcard Wrote:(11-28-2018, 11:48 AM)yvonne Wrote: I've not been a fan of many of the TV changes that have happened under Scott. The one I'll never understand is Pac-12 After Dark. Games are already later than in other areas by dint of being in the Pacific time zone. So why put them later?
They were put later because the TV networks offered more money if the Pac 12 would put more games later.
It's been a year or more since I looked this up, but at that time it turned out that Pac 12 games in these later slots got bigger audiences than the Pac 12 games in early slots. Apparently this is because the TV networks are correct, and the competition with other games is more decisive than the competition with sleeping (or other night activities).
There isn't competition. The Pac-12 games are already later than other conferences' games. A game at 4:00 is already at 7:00. Afternoon games are over by the time these start. Eastern games are played closer to noon, not at 7:00.
(11-28-2018, 12:51 PM)yvonne Wrote:(11-28-2018, 12:47 PM)CTcard Wrote:(11-28-2018, 11:48 AM)yvonne Wrote: I've not been a fan of many of the TV changes that have happened under Scott. The one I'll never understand is Pac-12 After Dark. Games are already later than in other areas by dint of being in the Pacific time zone. So why put them later?
They were put later because the TV networks offered more money if the Pac 12 would put more games later.
It's been a year or more since I looked this up, but at that time it turned out that Pac 12 games in these later slots got bigger audiences than the Pac 12 games in early slots. Apparently this is because the TV networks are correct, and the competition with other games is more decisive than the competition with sleeping (or other night activities).
There isn't competition. The Pac-12 games are already later than other conferences' games. A game at 4:00 is already at 7:00. Afternoon games are over by the time these start. Eastern games are played closer to noon, not at 7:00.
(11-28-2018, 10:16 AM)French Rage Wrote: Funny story, my wife and I were trying to find a spot on Castro Street in Mountain View to watch the UW game a few weeks back. Up until that point, I guess any game we tried to watch there was on a national network, so any spot had it. This time, being on the Pac-12 Network, the first few places didn't have it because they all had Direct-TV (which I'm assuming was for NFL games primarily). We finally went into St. Stephen's Green, where we met a father and son who had checked unsuccessfully at a few other restaurants. SSG did have Comcast, but only on a single TV by the bar; other than that, all TVs were Direct-TV. They also said that it was the only Comcast TV on the entire street. Being by the bar, the father and son could not sit there (the son being under 21), so my wife and I got those seats.
Long story short, there is one TV in downtown Mountain View showing the Pac-12 Network.
(11-28-2018, 10:16 AM)French Rage Wrote: Funny story, my wife and I were trying to find a spot on Castro Street in Mountain View to watch the UW game a few weeks back. Up until that point, I guess any game we tried to watch there was on a national network, so any spot had it. This time, being on the Pac-12 Network, the first few places didn't have it because they all had Direct-TV (which I'm assuming was for NFL games primarily). We finally went into St. Stephen's Green, where we met a father and son who had checked unsuccessfully at a few other restaurants. SSG did have Comcast, but only on a single TV by the bar; other than that, all TVs were Direct-TV. They also said that it was the only Comcast TV on the entire street. Being by the bar, the father and son could not sit there (the son being under 21), so my wife and I got those seats.
Long story short, there is one TV in downtown Mountain View showing the Pac-12 Network.
(11-28-2018, 12:51 PM)yvonne Wrote:(11-28-2018, 12:47 PM)CTcard Wrote:(11-28-2018, 11:48 AM)yvonne Wrote: I've not been a fan of many of the TV changes that have happened under Scott. The one I'll never understand is Pac-12 After Dark. Games are already later than in other areas by dint of being in the Pacific time zone. So why put them later?
They were put later because the TV networks offered more money if the Pac 12 would put more games later.
It's been a year or more since I looked this up, but at that time it turned out that Pac 12 games in these later slots got bigger audiences than the Pac 12 games in early slots. Apparently this is because the TV networks are correct, and the competition with other games is more decisive than the competition with sleeping (or other night activities).
There isn't competition. The Pac-12 games are already later than other conferences' games. A game at 4:00 is already at 7:00. Afternoon games are over by the time these start. Eastern games are played closer to noon, not at 7:00.
(11-28-2018, 12:51 PM)yvonne Wrote:(11-28-2018, 12:47 PM)CTcard Wrote:(11-28-2018, 11:48 AM)yvonne Wrote: I've not been a fan of many of the TV changes that have happened under Scott. The one I'll never understand is Pac-12 After Dark. Games are already later than in other areas by dint of being in the Pacific time zone. So why put them later?
They were put later because the TV networks offered more money if the Pac 12 would put more games later.
It's been a year or more since I looked this up, but at that time it turned out that Pac 12 games in these later slots got bigger audiences than the Pac 12 games in early slots. Apparently this is because the TV networks are correct, and the competition with other games is more decisive than the competition with sleeping (or other night activities).
There isn't competition. The Pac-12 games are already later than other conferences' games. A game at 4:00 is already at 7:00. Afternoon games are over by the time these start. Eastern games are played closer to noon, not at 7:00.
(11-28-2018, 10:16 AM)French Rage Wrote: Funny story, my wife and I were trying to find a spot on Castro Street in Mountain View to watch the UW game a few weeks back. Up until that point, I guess any game we tried to watch there was on a national network, so any spot had it. This time, being on the Pac-12 Network, the first few places didn't have it because they all had Direct-TV (which I'm assuming was for NFL games primarily). We finally went into St. Stephen's Green, where we met a father and son who had checked unsuccessfully at a few other restaurants. SSG did have Comcast, but only on a single TV by the bar; other than that, all TVs were Direct-TV. They also said that it was the only Comcast TV on the entire street. Being by the bar, the father and son could not sit there (the son being under 21), so my wife and I got those seats.
Long story short, there is one TV in downtown Mountain View showing the Pac-12 Network.
(11-28-2018, 10:16 AM)French Rage Wrote: Funny story, my wife and I were trying to find a spot on Castro Street in Mountain View to watch the UW game a few weeks back. Up until that point, I guess any game we tried to watch there was on a national network, so any spot had it. This time, being on the Pac-12 Network, the first few places didn't have it because they all had Direct-TV (which I'm assuming was for NFL games primarily). We finally went into St. Stephen's Green, where we met a father and son who had checked unsuccessfully at a few other restaurants. SSG did have Comcast, but only on a single TV by the bar; other than that, all TVs were Direct-TV. They also said that it was the only Comcast TV on the entire street. Being by the bar, the father and son could not sit there (the son being under 21), so my wife and I got those seats.
Long story short, there is one TV in downtown Mountain View showing the Pac-12 Network.
(11-28-2018, 01:55 PM)Farm93 Wrote: The reality is that sports on the East Coast often end after midnight. And often start at 9PM local if the game is intended for a national audience or are played in "minor" conferences eager to get some of their teams on TV.
To get really clear of all of that content certain to generate higher ratings (SEC for football/ACC for hoops)
Pac-12 After Dark really means Pac-12 After more popular conferences end their day. And thanks to East Coast and Southern fans willingness to stay at stadiums and arenas well beyond midnight the truth is ESPN and Fox probably would prefer Pac-12 After Dark could provide 8PM or even 9PM kicks and tips.
The Pac-12 fans complain if games are too early or too late.
The Pac-12 fans complain if the sun is too bright or if the weather is not perfect. Worse the Cali fans don't even show up if there is rain in the forecast.
The Pac-12 fans grumble about trying to get through commute traffic for midweek games (rather than take the whole day off like the SEC types would do).
The true Pac-12 alums don't really have a ton of passion to watch their teams on the road.
And, worse, non-college educated citizens in the Pac-12 footprint generally don't care about college sports or the Pac-12.
The idea that the Pac-12 deal is even close to the SEC deal in financial terms is a miracle.
The Pac-12 fans that do watch are generally more affluent which is valuable to some advertisers, but for most products the passionate and numerous eyeballs watching the SEC is a better ad placement choice.
(11-28-2018, 01:55 PM)Farm93 Wrote: The reality is that sports on the East Coast often end after midnight. And often start at 9PM local if the game is intended for a national audience or are played in "minor" conferences eager to get some of their teams on TV.
To get really clear of all of that content certain to generate higher ratings (SEC for football/ACC for hoops)
Pac-12 After Dark really means Pac-12 After more popular conferences end their day. And thanks to East Coast and Southern fans willingness to stay at stadiums and arenas well beyond midnight the truth is ESPN and Fox probably would prefer Pac-12 After Dark could provide 8PM or even 9PM kicks and tips.
The Pac-12 fans complain if games are too early or too late.
The Pac-12 fans complain if the sun is too bright or if the weather is not perfect. Worse the Cali fans don't even show up if there is rain in the forecast.
The Pac-12 fans grumble about trying to get through commute traffic for midweek games (rather than take the whole day off like the SEC types would do).
The true Pac-12 alums don't really have a ton of passion to watch their teams on the road.
And, worse, non-college educated citizens in the Pac-12 footprint generally don't care about college sports or the Pac-12.
The idea that the Pac-12 deal is even close to the SEC deal in financial terms is a miracle.
The Pac-12 fans that do watch are generally more affluent which is valuable to some advertisers, but for most products the passionate and numerous eyeballs watching the SEC is a better ad placement choice.
(11-28-2018, 06:49 PM)2006alum Wrote:(11-28-2018, 01:55 PM)Farm93 Wrote: The reality is that sports on the East Coast often end after midnight. And often start at 9PM local if the game is intended for a national audience or are played in "minor" conferences eager to get some of their teams on TV.
To get really clear of all of that content certain to generate higher ratings (SEC for football/ACC for hoops)
Pac-12 After Dark really means Pac-12 After more popular conferences end their day. And thanks to East Coast and Southern fans willingness to stay at stadiums and arenas well beyond midnight the truth is ESPN and Fox probably would prefer Pac-12 After Dark could provide 8PM or even 9PM kicks and tips.
The Pac-12 fans complain if games are too early or too late.
The Pac-12 fans complain if the sun is too bright or if the weather is not perfect. Worse the Cali fans don't even show up if there is rain in the forecast.
The Pac-12 fans grumble about trying to get through commute traffic for midweek games (rather than take the whole day off like the SEC types would do).
The true Pac-12 alums don't really have a ton of passion to watch their teams on the road.
And, worse, non-college educated citizens in the Pac-12 footprint generally don't care about college sports or the Pac-12.
The idea that the Pac-12 deal is even close to the SEC deal in financial terms is a miracle.
The Pac-12 fans that do watch are generally more affluent which is valuable to some advertisers, but for most products the passionate and numerous eyeballs watching the SEC is a better ad placement choice.
This, times 100. A ton of football games start at 8 p.m. EST and basketball games that start at 9 p.m. EST. I know folks out west forget this, but 76% of the country lives in the Eastern or Central time zones, which means that if you have any east coast/central teams playing at 8 p.m. EST/7 p.m. CST, why would ESPN carry a 5 p.m. PST game between west coast teams? There's no universe where Washington St v. Oregon attracts as many eyeballs as Miami vs. Florida State, even though this season the latter two teams were both markedly worse than the first two. My guess is 80% of the audience for PAC-12 games on ESPN lives in Mountain or Pacific time (which is 24% of the country).
I truly think when the cord-cutting dust settles in a decade, conferences will make money by extracting the greatest share of the revenue brought in for their sports, and owning the content and distribution platform will become key. The younger generation is used to everything on demand - why pay $100 month for Cable TV for the 10 hours of sports per month I want to watch on my tablet while multi-tasking? This is the future, and I do think the PAC-12 will be well positioned over time.
All that said, in the mean time, they really need to find a way to get it carried on more distributors. Until then, it's a liability, not a benefit.
(11-28-2018, 06:49 PM)2006alum Wrote:(11-28-2018, 01:55 PM)Farm93 Wrote: The reality is that sports on the East Coast often end after midnight. And often start at 9PM local if the game is intended for a national audience or are played in "minor" conferences eager to get some of their teams on TV.
To get really clear of all of that content certain to generate higher ratings (SEC for football/ACC for hoops)
Pac-12 After Dark really means Pac-12 After more popular conferences end their day. And thanks to East Coast and Southern fans willingness to stay at stadiums and arenas well beyond midnight the truth is ESPN and Fox probably would prefer Pac-12 After Dark could provide 8PM or even 9PM kicks and tips.
The Pac-12 fans complain if games are too early or too late.
The Pac-12 fans complain if the sun is too bright or if the weather is not perfect. Worse the Cali fans don't even show up if there is rain in the forecast.
The Pac-12 fans grumble about trying to get through commute traffic for midweek games (rather than take the whole day off like the SEC types would do).
The true Pac-12 alums don't really have a ton of passion to watch their teams on the road.
And, worse, non-college educated citizens in the Pac-12 footprint generally don't care about college sports or the Pac-12.
The idea that the Pac-12 deal is even close to the SEC deal in financial terms is a miracle.
The Pac-12 fans that do watch are generally more affluent which is valuable to some advertisers, but for most products the passionate and numerous eyeballs watching the SEC is a better ad placement choice.
This, times 100. A ton of football games start at 8 p.m. EST and basketball games that start at 9 p.m. EST. I know folks out west forget this, but 76% of the country lives in the Eastern or Central time zones, which means that if you have any east coast/central teams playing at 8 p.m. EST/7 p.m. CST, why would ESPN carry a 5 p.m. PST game between west coast teams? There's no universe where Washington St v. Oregon attracts as many eyeballs as Miami vs. Florida State, even though this season the latter two teams were both markedly worse than the first two. My guess is 80% of the audience for PAC-12 games on ESPN lives in Mountain or Pacific time (which is 24% of the country).
I truly think when the cord-cutting dust settles in a decade, conferences will make money by extracting the greatest share of the revenue brought in for their sports, and owning the content and distribution platform will become key. The younger generation is used to everything on demand - why pay $100 month for Cable TV for the 10 hours of sports per month I want to watch on my tablet while multi-tasking? This is the future, and I do think the PAC-12 will be well positioned over time.
All that said, in the mean time, they really need to find a way to get it carried on more distributors. Until then, it's a liability, not a benefit.
(11-28-2018, 07:13 PM)yvonne Wrote: If the country couldn't care less about a fair number of Pac-12 schools — something that could change had they the opportunity to watch teams — why is it necessary to play the majority of games at times inconvenient for fans? Only a few games, based on this reasoning, need to be played at 10:00 or later.
(11-28-2018, 07:13 PM)yvonne Wrote: If the country couldn't care less about a fair number of Pac-12 schools — something that could change had they the opportunity to watch teams — why is it necessary to play the majority of games at times inconvenient for fans? Only a few games, based on this reasoning, need to be played at 10:00 or later.
(11-28-2018, 07:20 PM)2006alum Wrote:(11-28-2018, 07:13 PM)yvonne Wrote: If the country couldn't care less about a fair number of Pac-12 schools — something that could change had they the opportunity to watch teams — why is it necessary to play the majority of games at times inconvenient for fans? Only a few games, based on this reasoning, need to be played at 10:00 or later.
Because those games still draw more far more eyeballs on a Saturday night than the 12th edition of Sportscenter, so ESPN is happy to toss a bunch of cash at the Pac-12 to take that slot. I'm fairly confident when the next rounds of negotiations happen in the early/mid 2020s, that will no longer be the case, at which point they may revert to games that are better for fans than for networks. But by then we'll probably all be dead from [your choice of: global warming; global pandemic; AI overlords; nuclear winter], so debatable whether that's worth looking forward to...
(11-28-2018, 07:20 PM)2006alum Wrote:(11-28-2018, 07:13 PM)yvonne Wrote: If the country couldn't care less about a fair number of Pac-12 schools — something that could change had they the opportunity to watch teams — why is it necessary to play the majority of games at times inconvenient for fans? Only a few games, based on this reasoning, need to be played at 10:00 or later.
Because those games still draw more far more eyeballs on a Saturday night than the 12th edition of Sportscenter, so ESPN is happy to toss a bunch of cash at the Pac-12 to take that slot. I'm fairly confident when the next rounds of negotiations happen in the early/mid 2020s, that will no longer be the case, at which point they may revert to games that are better for fans than for networks. But by then we'll probably all be dead from [your choice of: global warming; global pandemic; AI overlords; nuclear winter], so debatable whether that's worth looking forward to...
(11-29-2018, 05:06 AM)winflop Wrote: 2. No limits on the number of times a team can be put into those slots. In 2015 IIRC we had late kickoffs (6pm Pacific or later) in at least half of our games. I think that contributed to both us not being in the CFP and McCaffrey getting jobbed out of the Voldemort Trophy
(11-29-2018, 05:06 AM)winflop Wrote: 2. No limits on the number of times a team can be put into those slots. In 2015 IIRC we had late kickoffs (6pm Pacific or later) in at least half of our games. I think that contributed to both us not being in the CFP and McCaffrey getting jobbed out of the Voldemort Trophy