01-13-2019, 09:05 PM
I’m just so happy for Anna Wilson. Great game against ASU and great job defending McDonald. I’m so glad is she playing significant minutes again.
(01-13-2019, 07:04 PM)2006alum Wrote: BTW, Smith is on her way to an A-A kind of season: in conference play she's averaging a double-double, 4.5 blocks per game, a 3:2 blocks:fouls ratio, and >.900 from the line. And she's on pace to average the highest ppg (19.7 on the season) of any Cardinal since Chiney in 13-14. I can't remember the last time we've had such a complete player - neither Jayne nor the Ogwumikes were solid outside shooters, and Candice was never a blocking and rebounding machine.
(01-13-2019, 07:04 PM)2006alum Wrote: BTW, Smith is on her way to an A-A kind of season: in conference play she's averaging a double-double, 4.5 blocks per game, a 3:2 blocks:fouls ratio, and >.900 from the line. And she's on pace to average the highest ppg (19.7 on the season) of any Cardinal since Chiney in 13-14. I can't remember the last time we've had such a complete player - neither Jayne nor the Ogwumikes were solid outside shooters, and Candice was never a blocking and rebounding machine.
(01-13-2019, 07:04 PM)2006alum Wrote: And I'll say it again: it's also a testament to Tara's prescience in switching to the Princeton. This team has really come into their own running this offense, and Smith's versatility would never have been as pronounced under the old triangle offense. I am really in awe of Tara's chessmaster-like ability to see three moves (and seasons) ahead of everybody else. Jones is the epitome of a positionless, Princeton-style player, and both Prechtell and Brink are apparently extraordinarily versatile for bigs. I really really hope Tara will get one more championship before she mic drops. She 'deserves' it under every definition of that word.
(01-13-2019, 07:04 PM)2006alum Wrote: And I'll say it again: it's also a testament to Tara's prescience in switching to the Princeton. This team has really come into their own running this offense, and Smith's versatility would never have been as pronounced under the old triangle offense. I am really in awe of Tara's chessmaster-like ability to see three moves (and seasons) ahead of everybody else. Jones is the epitome of a positionless, Princeton-style player, and both Prechtell and Brink are apparently extraordinarily versatile for bigs. I really really hope Tara will get one more championship before she mic drops. She 'deserves' it under every definition of that word.
(01-13-2019, 11:15 PM)TheFarm07 Wrote:(01-13-2019, 07:04 PM)2006alum Wrote: And I'll say it again: it's also a testament to Tara's prescience in switching to the Princeton. This team has really come into their own running this offense, and Smith's versatility would never have been as pronounced under the old triangle offense. I am really in awe of Tara's chessmaster-like ability to see three moves (and seasons) ahead of everybody else. Jones is the epitome of a positionless, Princeton-style player, and both Prechtell and Brink are apparently extraordinarily versatile for bigs. I really really hope Tara will get one more championship before she mic drops. She 'deserves' it under every definition of that word.
Losing Fingall for the year certainly hurts our chances this season. Her presence added interior scoring and defense and depth in the forward/post position. Even if/when Maya returns, not having Nadia to provide a different look and provide relief for Maya and Alanna for rest/foul reasons will hurt against the tougher teams. Having said all that, we have the talent to make a deep run in March, but I believe we might be a year removed from being a favorite for the national title. But I would not be surprised (and I would be very happy) if we made the Final Four in two and a half months.
Next year, losing Alanna will certainly be a major blow to the team but we will still have two of the "Big Three" in DiJonai and Kiana. Plus I hope that Haley Jones and the freshman class can step right in and contribute right away. One single player won't replace Smith's production, but the entering class is extremely talented and I think all four of them can make meaningful contributions right away. Furthermore, the returning players will have more one year of experience under their belt, and I anticipate Brown and the Hull sisters making even more improvement over the summer. Plus I think Fingall and Maya will be a formidable duo inside. I look for the team to be a serious contender for the national title next year.
(01-13-2019, 11:15 PM)TheFarm07 Wrote:(01-13-2019, 07:04 PM)2006alum Wrote: And I'll say it again: it's also a testament to Tara's prescience in switching to the Princeton. This team has really come into their own running this offense, and Smith's versatility would never have been as pronounced under the old triangle offense. I am really in awe of Tara's chessmaster-like ability to see three moves (and seasons) ahead of everybody else. Jones is the epitome of a positionless, Princeton-style player, and both Prechtell and Brink are apparently extraordinarily versatile for bigs. I really really hope Tara will get one more championship before she mic drops. She 'deserves' it under every definition of that word.
Losing Fingall for the year certainly hurts our chances this season. Her presence added interior scoring and defense and depth in the forward/post position. Even if/when Maya returns, not having Nadia to provide a different look and provide relief for Maya and Alanna for rest/foul reasons will hurt against the tougher teams. Having said all that, we have the talent to make a deep run in March, but I believe we might be a year removed from being a favorite for the national title. But I would not be surprised (and I would be very happy) if we made the Final Four in two and a half months.
Next year, losing Alanna will certainly be a major blow to the team but we will still have two of the "Big Three" in DiJonai and Kiana. Plus I hope that Haley Jones and the freshman class can step right in and contribute right away. One single player won't replace Smith's production, but the entering class is extremely talented and I think all four of them can make meaningful contributions right away. Furthermore, the returning players will have more one year of experience under their belt, and I anticipate Brown and the Hull sisters making even more improvement over the summer. Plus I think Fingall and Maya will be a formidable duo inside. I look for the team to be a serious contender for the national title next year.
(01-14-2019, 06:02 AM)M T Wrote: I went back and watched the Arizona offense against Stanford. I respectfully disagree with the comments about how great Lacie & Lexie & Anna, etc were in their guarding. Not that they were bad, just that Aari seemed always to get clear. Rarely were they the reason for Aari to fail to score. My belief is that the clogged middle blocked most of what she would ordinarily do (not just blocks or threatened blocks on drives, but also her choosing to do something else because drives to the basket weren't working). Probably though, the fact that the defenders usually went over the screen (resulting in some fouls) impacted her play.Fascinating research, MT! My feeling too was that it was Alanna's blocks (And Alyssa) that did the most to reign McDonald in--she seemed to be able to get around everyone. But did you notice if our defense had any kind of scheme to channel McDonald right or left? And how were our bigs able to block so many? Perhaps this was by design? I don't dvr the games and so I can't say.
When Aari tried, she was almost always able to get separation from her guard by cutting around someone who stepped in for a screen. We got burned for a 3pt attempt when we went under the screen, and got several fouls by going over the screen. (We had 6 fouls on defense against her.)
The number of possessions(how I counted them) they were guarding Aari:
Lacie: 32; Anna: 15; Lexie: 5; Mikaela: 3; Kiana: 3; Jenna: 1
Of the 59 possessions she was in for,
in 15 she never got the ball (mostly because she was well away from the play)
in 4 her shot was blocked
in 3 she passed out of the lane because of a threatened block
in 11 her shot missed (1 possession had 2 misses)
in 6 she hit a 2-pointer, of which 2 had a plus-1 FT, (at least one of which was a consolation-prize foul)
in 4 someone fouled her
Lacie clearly was the designated defender. I thought it was interesting for her to trade off with her twin (keeping the defender fresher than Aari), but it seemed Lexie wasn't quite able to do this as she got two quick fouls trying to go around screens. Although it was a small sample size, I thought Kiana may have done the best job of keeping up with her. (But Aari shot over Kiana & DiJonai during a fast break, so I expect Lacie's length was critical for the defensive assignment.)
I don't see anything too revealing, but here are some comparisons of her season and the Stanford game.
For the season, she shot 102/176 (58%) 3FGA/2FGA. Against Stanford, 6/16 (37.5%).
From 2pt range, she was 100/176 (57%) 2FG/2FGA. Against Stanford, 6/16 (37.5%).
From 3pt range, she was 32/102 (31%) 3FG/3FGA. Against Stanford 0/6 (0%)
From FT, she was 96/121 (79.3%) FT/FTA. Against Stanford 5/6 (83.3%)
(Her 33 minutes in the Stanford game is close to her season average of 32.6, so I'll use per game averages, vs per minute)
For the season, she shot 176/15 (11.7) 2FGA/game. Against Stanford, 16.
For the season, she shot 102/15 (6.8) 3FGA/game. Against Stanford, 6.
For the season, she shot 121/15 (8) FT/game. Against Stanford 6.
(01-14-2019, 06:02 AM)M T Wrote: I went back and watched the Arizona offense against Stanford. I respectfully disagree with the comments about how great Lacie & Lexie & Anna, etc were in their guarding. Not that they were bad, just that Aari seemed always to get clear. Rarely were they the reason for Aari to fail to score. My belief is that the clogged middle blocked most of what she would ordinarily do (not just blocks or threatened blocks on drives, but also her choosing to do something else because drives to the basket weren't working). Probably though, the fact that the defenders usually went over the screen (resulting in some fouls) impacted her play.Fascinating research, MT! My feeling too was that it was Alanna's blocks (And Alyssa) that did the most to reign McDonald in--she seemed to be able to get around everyone. But did you notice if our defense had any kind of scheme to channel McDonald right or left? And how were our bigs able to block so many? Perhaps this was by design? I don't dvr the games and so I can't say.
When Aari tried, she was almost always able to get separation from her guard by cutting around someone who stepped in for a screen. We got burned for a 3pt attempt when we went under the screen, and got several fouls by going over the screen. (We had 6 fouls on defense against her.)
The number of possessions(how I counted them) they were guarding Aari:
Lacie: 32; Anna: 15; Lexie: 5; Mikaela: 3; Kiana: 3; Jenna: 1
Of the 59 possessions she was in for,
in 15 she never got the ball (mostly because she was well away from the play)
in 4 her shot was blocked
in 3 she passed out of the lane because of a threatened block
in 11 her shot missed (1 possession had 2 misses)
in 6 she hit a 2-pointer, of which 2 had a plus-1 FT, (at least one of which was a consolation-prize foul)
in 4 someone fouled her
Lacie clearly was the designated defender. I thought it was interesting for her to trade off with her twin (keeping the defender fresher than Aari), but it seemed Lexie wasn't quite able to do this as she got two quick fouls trying to go around screens. Although it was a small sample size, I thought Kiana may have done the best job of keeping up with her. (But Aari shot over Kiana & DiJonai during a fast break, so I expect Lacie's length was critical for the defensive assignment.)
I don't see anything too revealing, but here are some comparisons of her season and the Stanford game.
For the season, she shot 102/176 (58%) 3FGA/2FGA. Against Stanford, 6/16 (37.5%).
From 2pt range, she was 100/176 (57%) 2FG/2FGA. Against Stanford, 6/16 (37.5%).
From 3pt range, she was 32/102 (31%) 3FG/3FGA. Against Stanford 0/6 (0%)
From FT, she was 96/121 (79.3%) FT/FTA. Against Stanford 5/6 (83.3%)
(Her 33 minutes in the Stanford game is close to her season average of 32.6, so I'll use per game averages, vs per minute)
For the season, she shot 176/15 (11.7) 2FGA/game. Against Stanford, 16.
For the season, she shot 102/15 (6.8) 3FGA/game. Against Stanford, 6.
For the season, she shot 121/15 (8) FT/game. Against Stanford 6.
(01-14-2019, 03:26 PM)Spike Wrote: Trying to guard a speedy guard like Aari is like trying to guard a great wide receiver with single coverage. Not doable.
So Lacie’s job was to harass and make Aari drive into the paint where our interior defense really bottled her up. A great slashing guard would be able to find the open player when driving into traffic. Did Aari have any assists?
(01-14-2019, 03:26 PM)Spike Wrote: Trying to guard a speedy guard like Aari is like trying to guard a great wide receiver with single coverage. Not doable.
So Lacie’s job was to harass and make Aari drive into the paint where our interior defense really bottled her up. A great slashing guard would be able to find the open player when driving into traffic. Did Aari have any assists?
(01-14-2019, 09:31 AM)mbdude Wrote: Adia Barnes:"They weren’t really letting her go around. … I think they defended us really well. They made Aari really work and take tough shots.”Here is the full quote which is even more emphatic:
In my opinion it really has nothing to do with stopping her shot, it's making her take tough shots as mentioned above, and forcing her to go where we want her to go
(01-14-2019, 09:31 AM)mbdude Wrote: Adia Barnes:"They weren’t really letting her go around. … I think they defended us really well. They made Aari really work and take tough shots.”Here is the full quote which is even more emphatic:
In my opinion it really has nothing to do with stopping her shot, it's making her take tough shots as mentioned above, and forcing her to go where we want her to go
(01-14-2019, 07:04 PM)81alum Wrote: By clogging the paint with our sagging man, and by channeling her into the paint, she was shooting into a shot blocker.In other words, Tara is the best scouting coach in the country. I never cease to be impressed by how well she takes away the other team's best weapon, year after year, personnel after personnel, almost without fail.
(01-14-2019, 07:04 PM)81alum Wrote: By clogging the paint with our sagging man, and by channeling her into the paint, she was shooting into a shot blocker.In other words, Tara is the best scouting coach in the country. I never cease to be impressed by how well she takes away the other team's best weapon, year after year, personnel after personnel, almost without fail.
(01-14-2019, 08:33 PM)2006alum Wrote:Yes, this is her defensive genius. Her version of the "scouting report defense" has great success against teams with 1 or two dominant players. It is perfect for our own personnel because they have the intelligence to execute sophisticated defensive game plans even when we do not always have elite athletes at all five positions. It has a weakness, though--when playing against teams that have 3 or 4 or even 5 equally talented offensive players then her bottomless bag of tricks does not work so well. Also a weakness is when we force an unexpected player on the opposition to carry their offense and they do--resulting in stars with limited production and unheralded others with plenty. In our (fortunately few) losses this is often the way we lose.(01-14-2019, 07:04 PM)81alum Wrote: By clogging the paint with our sagging man, and by channeling her into the paint, she was shooting into a shot blocker.In other words, Tara is the best scouting coach in the country. I never cease to be impressed by how well she takes away the other team's best weapon, year after year, personnel after personnel, almost without fail.
(01-14-2019, 08:33 PM)2006alum Wrote:Yes, this is her defensive genius. Her version of the "scouting report defense" has great success against teams with 1 or two dominant players. It is perfect for our own personnel because they have the intelligence to execute sophisticated defensive game plans even when we do not always have elite athletes at all five positions. It has a weakness, though--when playing against teams that have 3 or 4 or even 5 equally talented offensive players then her bottomless bag of tricks does not work so well. Also a weakness is when we force an unexpected player on the opposition to carry their offense and they do--resulting in stars with limited production and unheralded others with plenty. In our (fortunately few) losses this is often the way we lose.(01-14-2019, 07:04 PM)81alum Wrote: By clogging the paint with our sagging man, and by channeling her into the paint, she was shooting into a shot blocker.In other words, Tara is the best scouting coach in the country. I never cease to be impressed by how well she takes away the other team's best weapon, year after year, personnel after personnel, almost without fail.
(01-15-2019, 07:56 AM)81alum Wrote:(01-14-2019, 08:33 PM)2006alum Wrote:Yes, this is her defensive genius. Her version of the "scouting report defense" has great success against teams with 1 or two dominant players. It is perfect for our own personnel because they have the intelligence to execute sophisticated defensive game plans even when we do not always have elite athletes at all five positions. It has a weakness, though--when playing against teams that have 3 or 4 or even 5 equally talented offensive players then her bottomless bag of tricks does not work so well. Also a weakness is when we force an unexpected player on the opposition to carry their offense and they do--resulting in stars with limited production and unheralded others with plenty. In our (fortunately few) losses this is often the way we lose.(01-14-2019, 07:04 PM)81alum Wrote: By clogging the paint with our sagging man, and by channeling her into the paint, she was shooting into a shot blocker.In other words, Tara is the best scouting coach in the country. I never cease to be impressed by how well she takes away the other team's best weapon, year after year, personnel after personnel, almost without fail.
For example, our elite 8 loss to Washington in 2016, when we "held" Plum to 26 but gave up double digit points to three other Washington players, or last year's loss at Cal where we kept Anigwe to a respectable 11 points but let Asha Thomas score 25. And most instructive is the loss at Gonzaga this year, where we held their leading scorer Zykera Rice who shoots 52% and 14 pg to 1/6 shooting for 4 points, but gave up 20 points and 15 points to two players who are averaging 8 and 9 ppg. There was a game earlier this year when we were guarding a devastatingly good three point shooter only to let a freshman who had barely played hit a mess of treys--since we had no scouting report on her! (That may have been Idaho?)
Tara is a genius at scouting teams, as was perhaps best on display against Baylor this year. But it works by exploiting weaknesses. We sag off of the poor shooters and double the good ones. I have seen Tara deliberately leave an opposing player open, daring her to shoot, while using her "defender" to cut off passes to the most talented shooters. It is a little like what other teams did to Sniezek at times. However, teams where all five players can score are the hardest for Tara to defend.
(01-15-2019, 07:56 AM)81alum Wrote:(01-14-2019, 08:33 PM)2006alum Wrote:Yes, this is her defensive genius. Her version of the "scouting report defense" has great success against teams with 1 or two dominant players. It is perfect for our own personnel because they have the intelligence to execute sophisticated defensive game plans even when we do not always have elite athletes at all five positions. It has a weakness, though--when playing against teams that have 3 or 4 or even 5 equally talented offensive players then her bottomless bag of tricks does not work so well. Also a weakness is when we force an unexpected player on the opposition to carry their offense and they do--resulting in stars with limited production and unheralded others with plenty. In our (fortunately few) losses this is often the way we lose.(01-14-2019, 07:04 PM)81alum Wrote: By clogging the paint with our sagging man, and by channeling her into the paint, she was shooting into a shot blocker.In other words, Tara is the best scouting coach in the country. I never cease to be impressed by how well she takes away the other team's best weapon, year after year, personnel after personnel, almost without fail.
For example, our elite 8 loss to Washington in 2016, when we "held" Plum to 26 but gave up double digit points to three other Washington players, or last year's loss at Cal where we kept Anigwe to a respectable 11 points but let Asha Thomas score 25. And most instructive is the loss at Gonzaga this year, where we held their leading scorer Zykera Rice who shoots 52% and 14 pg to 1/6 shooting for 4 points, but gave up 20 points and 15 points to two players who are averaging 8 and 9 ppg. There was a game earlier this year when we were guarding a devastatingly good three point shooter only to let a freshman who had barely played hit a mess of treys--since we had no scouting report on her! (That may have been Idaho?)
Tara is a genius at scouting teams, as was perhaps best on display against Baylor this year. But it works by exploiting weaknesses. We sag off of the poor shooters and double the good ones. I have seen Tara deliberately leave an opposing player open, daring her to shoot, while using her "defender" to cut off passes to the most talented shooters. It is a little like what other teams did to Sniezek at times. However, teams where all five players can score are the hardest for Tara to defend.
(01-14-2019, 06:39 PM)crackpot Wrote:(01-14-2019, 03:26 PM)Spike Wrote: Trying to guard a speedy guard like Aari is like trying to guard a great wide receiver with single coverage. Not doable.
So Lacie’s job was to harass and make Aari drive into the paint where our interior defense really bottled her up. A great slashing guard would be able to find the open player when driving into traffic. Did Aari have any assists?
Oooh, good point.
Aari had zero assists.
(01-14-2019, 06:39 PM)crackpot Wrote:(01-14-2019, 03:26 PM)Spike Wrote: Trying to guard a speedy guard like Aari is like trying to guard a great wide receiver with single coverage. Not doable.
So Lacie’s job was to harass and make Aari drive into the paint where our interior defense really bottled her up. A great slashing guard would be able to find the open player when driving into traffic. Did Aari have any assists?
Oooh, good point.
Aari had zero assists.