(06-28-2020, 11:20 AM)fullmetal Wrote: GR: your argument boils down to "errors are acceptable."
They are not.
https://www.npr.org/2020/06/24/882683463...-in-michig
https://www.wired.com/story/amazon-facia...forcement/
https://www.eff.org/pages/face-recognition
https://www.asisonline.org/security-mana...mographic/
https://www.bangkokpost.com/tech/1820554...ition-tech
Errors in any new software protocol are inevitable. Greater sophistication leads to more and reliability. You don't get there without use and refinement.
Voice recognition with various automated assistants (Siri, Google Assistant, Alexa) is now outstandingly reliable and getting better. It did not begin at that level of refinement. You can't reach that level of refinement without continued development.
You use the tool as a tool - not a solution. The problem in Michigan was undue reliance by law enforcement on the tool. That happens, no matter what tools you use. Continued education is the answer.
To assume that the 2020 version of any software technology is definitive, that the problems and crudities with use can't be resolved and eliminated, is plain silly, and belied by every software category you can name - including the platform I"m writing on.
The articles you cite, by the way, are all polemical.
(06-28-2020, 10:54 AM)2006alum Wrote: [quote="Genuine Realist" pid='284269' dateline='1593361397']
It might surprise you to know that no one goes to trial on DNA or fingerprints alone.
If so, I'd be curious for you to explain what this law professor at UC Berkeley got wrong, from
"Safety in Numbers - Deciding When DNA Alone is Enough to Convict":
Quote:Cases like Puckett are part of an emerging phenomenon of "pure cold hit" DNA prosecutions in which the entirety of the government's case against the suspect, aside from his prior conviction, is a DNA profile match or a match accompanied only by general evidence, such as age or race, that limits the suspect population only to a small and quantifiable degree. These cases have been made possible by law enforcement's increased reliance on DNA databases to investigate crimes, the newfound ability to develop DNA profiles on old, degraded, and mixed evidence samples, and the modern practice of securing so-called "John Doe" indictments against DNA profiles of yet-unknown suspects."
Technically speaking, in most cases yes, there is
some other circumstantial evidence. But it's really disingenuous to suggest that DNA tests aren't being used by prosecutors as silver bullets when they lack any other concrete evidence, and there's
so many documented problems with DNA evidence I don't even know where to begin.
This finding documented in the Atlantic was particularly striking:
Quote:As recognition of DNA’s revelatory power seeped into popular culture, courtroom experts started talking about a “CSI effect,” whereby juries, schooled by television police procedurals, needed only to hear those three magic letters—DNA—to arrive at a guilty verdict. In 2008, Donald E. Shelton, a felony trial judge in Michigan, published a study in which 1,027 randomly summoned jurors in the city of Ann Arbor were polled on what they expected prosecutors to present during a criminal trial. Three-quarters of the jurors said they expected DNA evidence in rape cases, and nearly half said they expected it in murder or attempted-murder cases; 22 percent said they expected DNA evidence in every criminal case. Shelton quotes one district attorney as saying, “They expect us to have the most advanced technology possible, and they expect it to look like it does on television.”
I think you may have wandered onto my turf, though I don't know what your professional background is. In any case, the article you cite is apples and oranges.
What the teaching fellow (not professor) is discussing is whether DNA evidence
all by itself is sufficient to convict. (I don't know whether the author is even aware of such a case. In the one case she describes, she has to concede that the DNA was the primary evidence - which of course it would be. But I"d like to know what the other evidence was.) That's an interesting theoretical question, to which no clear answer can be given - it depends on too many other factors. In the vast majority of cold cases, the initial cold hit doesn't lead to an immediate arrest, but to an investigation as to whether the subject can circumstantially be linked to the time and place of the crime. If it can, you almost certainly have PC for arrest, and a pretty good prima facie case, as DNA is powerful stuff.
But are you saying because a naive prosecutor and a naive jury may theoretically convict improprerly on that basis alone, that we should not be running DNA samples against databases? I doubt you mean that. In any case, you use DNA and fingerprints as tools, among others, to make or unmake a case. They are very valuable used properly. The fact that they can be used improperly doesn't change that.
FRS is different. It isn't going to be all that useful as proof at trial - the jury will make up its own mind about identification. I've never met a human being who would defer to a computer on that score. But it can be extremely useful in identifying a possible criminal perpetrator, and thereby eliminating the innocent. Look back at that stop-and-frisk situation I mentioned. FRS is not going to resolve social dilemma - preventing crime v. unwarranted intrusion - but it sure is going to help.
In any case, you can't go backwards with this stuff. And its potential applications are extremely useful.
(06-28-2020, 10:54 AM)2006alum Wrote: [quote="Genuine Realist" pid='284269' dateline='1593361397']
It might surprise you to know that no one goes to trial on DNA or fingerprints alone.
If so, I'd be curious for you to explain what this law professor at UC Berkeley got wrong, from
"Safety in Numbers - Deciding When DNA Alone is Enough to Convict":
Quote:Cases like Puckett are part of an emerging phenomenon of "pure cold hit" DNA prosecutions in which the entirety of the government's case against the suspect, aside from his prior conviction, is a DNA profile match or a match accompanied only by general evidence, such as age or race, that limits the suspect population only to a small and quantifiable degree. These cases have been made possible by law enforcement's increased reliance on DNA databases to investigate crimes, the newfound ability to develop DNA profiles on old, degraded, and mixed evidence samples, and the modern practice of securing so-called "John Doe" indictments against DNA profiles of yet-unknown suspects."
Technically speaking, in most cases yes, there is
some other circumstantial evidence. But it's really disingenuous to suggest that DNA tests aren't being used by prosecutors as silver bullets when they lack any other concrete evidence, and there's
so many documented problems with DNA evidence I don't even know where to begin.
This finding documented in the Atlantic was particularly striking:
Quote:As recognition of DNA’s revelatory power seeped into popular culture, courtroom experts started talking about a “CSI effect,” whereby juries, schooled by television police procedurals, needed only to hear those three magic letters—DNA—to arrive at a guilty verdict. In 2008, Donald E. Shelton, a felony trial judge in Michigan, published a study in which 1,027 randomly summoned jurors in the city of Ann Arbor were polled on what they expected prosecutors to present during a criminal trial. Three-quarters of the jurors said they expected DNA evidence in rape cases, and nearly half said they expected it in murder or attempted-murder cases; 22 percent said they expected DNA evidence in every criminal case. Shelton quotes one district attorney as saying, “They expect us to have the most advanced technology possible, and they expect it to look like it does on television.”
I think you may have wandered onto my turf, though I don't know what your professional background is. In any case, the article you cite is apples and oranges.
What the teaching fellow (not professor) is discussing is whether DNA evidence
all by itself is sufficient to convict. (I don't know whether the author is even aware of such a case. In the one case she describes, she has to concede that the DNA was the primary evidence - which of course it would be. But I"d like to know what the other evidence was.) That's an interesting theoretical question, to which no clear answer can be given - it depends on too many other factors. In the vast majority of cold cases, the initial cold hit doesn't lead to an immediate arrest, but to an investigation as to whether the subject can circumstantially be linked to the time and place of the crime. If it can, you almost certainly have PC for arrest, and a pretty good prima facie case, as DNA is powerful stuff.
But are you saying because a naive prosecutor and a naive jury may theoretically convict improprerly on that basis alone, that we should not be running DNA samples against databases? I doubt you mean that. In any case, you use DNA and fingerprints as tools, among others, to make or unmake a case. They are very valuable used properly. The fact that they can be used improperly doesn't change that.
FRS is different. It isn't going to be all that useful as proof at trial - the jury will make up its own mind about identification. I've never met a human being who would defer to a computer on that score. But it can be extremely useful in identifying a possible criminal perpetrator, and thereby eliminating the innocent. Look back at that stop-and-frisk situation I mentioned. FRS is not going to resolve social dilemma - preventing crime v. unwarranted intrusion - but it sure is going to help.
In any case, you can't go backwards with this stuff. And its potential applications are extremely useful.
(06-28-2020, 11:20 AM)fullmetal Wrote: GR: your argument boils down to "errors are acceptable."
They are not.
https://www.npr.org/2020/06/24/882683463...-in-michig
https://www.wired.com/story/amazon-facia...forcement/
https://www.eff.org/pages/face-recognition
https://www.asisonline.org/security-mana...mographic/
https://www.bangkokpost.com/tech/1820554...ition-tech
Errors are unacceptable? Isn't that straight out of the anti-vaxxer playbook?
in any new software protocol errors are inevitable. You rely on common sense (sorely lacking in the Michigan anecdote) to mitigate and minimize.
Greater sophistication leads to more and reliability. You don't get there without use and refinement.
Voice recognition with various automated assistants (Siri, Google Assistant, Alexa) is now outstandingly reliable and getting better. It did not begin at that level of refinement. You can't reach that level of refinement without continued development.
You use the tool as a tool - not a solution. The problem in Michigan was undue reliance by law enforcement on the tool. That happens, no matter what tools you use. Continued education is the answer.
To assume that the 2020 version of any software technology is definitive, that the problems and crudities with use can't be resolved and eliminated, is plain silly, and belied by every software category you can name - including the platform I"m writing on.
The articles you cite, by the way, are all polemical.