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I frankly do not know who would be a better alternative to Shaw at the head of the program: but, clearly, the current regime is floundering.
There have been fears of a "lost decade" if the athletic administration decides to let Shaw and his staff go, with the clear danger that we end up with another Teevens/Harris tandem to coach the program into a sinkhole. However, to be honest, the lost decade has already begun, and there is no sign we have the coaches or the players to reverse this trend. Teevens was 10-23 in three seasons. Harris was 6-17 in two seasons. Over the last three seasons, Shaw is 11-16, with the trend downward. If we win 1 out of 3 going forward, he will have a 12-18 record since 2019. Slightly better than Buddy and Wlat, but only slightly. Is anybody on this board predicting a miraculous turnaround in 2022 to reverse this trend?
As I have said, I think Shaw could possibly turn the program around, but not by sticking to his current ways. He would have to wake up one morning, stare at himself in the mirror and ask himself whether the success of the football program has priority over his personal loyalties to a clearly dysfunctional coaching staff (of which he is currently leader and, therefore, an integral part). If the answer is yes, he would have to don a new mantle that morning and set about hiring a crack staff (including S&C) that would bring heightened competitiveness and a sense of urgency to a moribund program. Three-star players would once again perform like 4-star players, the team would sense a renewed energy, get back to at least a .500 win percentage, make a lower tier bowl, attract better recruits in the next cycle, and the virtuous circle would continue. We saw that happen between 2007 and 2010. And Shaw is smart enough and experienced enough to make that happen, because he was there and knows what it takes. But will he do this?
Even if he is pressured to terminate Pritchard, Anderson and some other assistants, there is no guarantee he will have the will or the acumen to surround himself with a staff that can engineer a turnaround. Shaw appears to be one of those leaders who prefers to be the beloved father figure surrounded by loyal acolytes rather than the uncomfortable task-master insisting on superior performance from his staff and players. I am sure Shaw is a wonderful guy to work for; but if you want to win in a brutally competitive enterprise (e.g., NCAA division I football), you sometimes need to be a hard-nosed bastard. I don't think Shaw is that type of person nor would he surround himself with that type of coach. It would be too uncomfortable for him.
So if we think Shaw will be around at least through 2025 (i.e., another four seasons or so), does anybody really expect things to turnaround in that timeframe? It's not impossible. But, as mentioned, it would require our head coach to undergo a thorough transformation of temperament and make changes he has thus far been unwilling to make. If he does not change anything and continues down the current path, we will be 7 years into the lost decade before any new leader can take the reins. Yes, there is no guarantee that a change will bring in a second Harbaugh. But the current trajectory is already reminiscent of the Teevens/Harris half-decade of misery.