Hey all, the ITA preseason team rankings just dropped, and Stanford kicks off the year as the #4 team in the country, behind #1 UNC, #2 Texas A&M, and #3 Georgia. This is reasonable, because though I'd put us at likely #2 behind UNC, there's no question that the lineup at UNC is dominant and they're the big dog nationally, while we're part of a strong next tier that could pull it off depending on the day. Because that's who we are--absolutely good enough to win a national championship but not the clear favorite for it.
The season gets started in just over a week as Stanford travels to San Diego for a pair of matches, one at USD and the other a neutral site match against #2 A&M. We don't usually have marquee matches like that right away, so that's an exciting change of pace!
Schedule Analysis:
On paper, the final Pac-12 women's tennis season has Stanford in front by a decent amount. At least by rankings, Stanford is the class of the group, but there's a very solid next tier of #16 UCLA, #18 Cal, #22 USC, #24 UW, and #25 ASU comprising a bunch of dangerous teams who can beat you on a given day even if they're unlikely to challenge for a national title. We get UCLA and USC at home and ASU, UW, and Cal on the road.
In the non-conference, we have three matches of note: a neutral site matchup against #2 Texas A&M, a late February match at home against #7 Texas, and an early Friday home match against #8 Pepperdine.
And assuming we handle CU and the Maryland/UNLV winner at Kick-Off Weekend at the end of this month, we'll have National Indoors from February 9-12 where we will add a few more good matches--and hopefully a few good wins--to the total. The schedule lines up well enough for us to have a decent chance at one of those top 8 Super Regional spots come the end of the year.
Roster Analysis:
We add two highly-touted freshmen to the roster in Katherine Hui and Eleana Yu--the #1 class in the country--and we otherwise return our top 5 singles players from last season's NCAA semifinal team, effectively losing only Sara Choy from the roster. So, we can use the way our lineup ended last year as a starting point for this year:
1. #49 Alexandra Yepifanova (Jr.)
2. #11 Connie Ma (Jr.)
3. #48 Angelica Blake (Gr.)
4. #64 Alexis Blokhina (So.)
5. #50 Valencia Xu (Jr.)
You can then add two of the top 5 ranked newcomers in #2 Hui and #4 Yu, and you also have our senior class of Ana Geller (who formerly played as high as #3 singles for us as a freshman before struggling with injuries and poor form) and India Houghton, another Blue Chip sophomore in Emma Sun, and the rare incoming grad transfer in Chidimma Okpara, who graduated from Dartmouth and played #1 singles there in both of her last two seasons.
I remain of the view that when both are at their best, Ma is a better player than Yepifanova, but of course, it comes down to both being at their best. But in any event, those two are your top two, and Blake is your #3. Then it becomes a bit less clear, but I still think Blokhina is your #4. Then it's really 3 players--Xu, Yu, and Hui--for your 5 and 6 spots. Sun is plainly not on the level of the other players, Geller has never really found the form that made her a pretty dangerous player her freshman year, and Houghton has never lived up to her recruiting hype. Okpara is something of an unknown in terms of how her experience in the Dartmouth lineup translates to a much higher level here, but based on her fall results, I don't expect her to play very much.
For what it's worth, Stanford played a hidden dual/exhibition match against Hawaii back in November, and those results are shown on the Stanford statistics page. Blake didn't play, but otherwise the lineup was 1 - Ma, 2 - Yepifanova, 3 - Blokhina, 4 - Xu, 5 - Hui, and 6 - Yu. So, I'd assume that with Blake at 3, the tentative internal pecking order for that last group is Xu > Hui > Yu.
Excited for the season!
The season gets started in just over a week as Stanford travels to San Diego for a pair of matches, one at USD and the other a neutral site match against #2 A&M. We don't usually have marquee matches like that right away, so that's an exciting change of pace!
Schedule Analysis:
On paper, the final Pac-12 women's tennis season has Stanford in front by a decent amount. At least by rankings, Stanford is the class of the group, but there's a very solid next tier of #16 UCLA, #18 Cal, #22 USC, #24 UW, and #25 ASU comprising a bunch of dangerous teams who can beat you on a given day even if they're unlikely to challenge for a national title. We get UCLA and USC at home and ASU, UW, and Cal on the road.
In the non-conference, we have three matches of note: a neutral site matchup against #2 Texas A&M, a late February match at home against #7 Texas, and an early Friday home match against #8 Pepperdine.
And assuming we handle CU and the Maryland/UNLV winner at Kick-Off Weekend at the end of this month, we'll have National Indoors from February 9-12 where we will add a few more good matches--and hopefully a few good wins--to the total. The schedule lines up well enough for us to have a decent chance at one of those top 8 Super Regional spots come the end of the year.
Roster Analysis:
We add two highly-touted freshmen to the roster in Katherine Hui and Eleana Yu--the #1 class in the country--and we otherwise return our top 5 singles players from last season's NCAA semifinal team, effectively losing only Sara Choy from the roster. So, we can use the way our lineup ended last year as a starting point for this year:
1. #49 Alexandra Yepifanova (Jr.)
2. #11 Connie Ma (Jr.)
3. #48 Angelica Blake (Gr.)
4. #64 Alexis Blokhina (So.)
5. #50 Valencia Xu (Jr.)
You can then add two of the top 5 ranked newcomers in #2 Hui and #4 Yu, and you also have our senior class of Ana Geller (who formerly played as high as #3 singles for us as a freshman before struggling with injuries and poor form) and India Houghton, another Blue Chip sophomore in Emma Sun, and the rare incoming grad transfer in Chidimma Okpara, who graduated from Dartmouth and played #1 singles there in both of her last two seasons.
I remain of the view that when both are at their best, Ma is a better player than Yepifanova, but of course, it comes down to both being at their best. But in any event, those two are your top two, and Blake is your #3. Then it becomes a bit less clear, but I still think Blokhina is your #4. Then it's really 3 players--Xu, Yu, and Hui--for your 5 and 6 spots. Sun is plainly not on the level of the other players, Geller has never really found the form that made her a pretty dangerous player her freshman year, and Houghton has never lived up to her recruiting hype. Okpara is something of an unknown in terms of how her experience in the Dartmouth lineup translates to a much higher level here, but based on her fall results, I don't expect her to play very much.
For what it's worth, Stanford played a hidden dual/exhibition match against Hawaii back in November, and those results are shown on the Stanford statistics page. Blake didn't play, but otherwise the lineup was 1 - Ma, 2 - Yepifanova, 3 - Blokhina, 4 - Xu, 5 - Hui, and 6 - Yu. So, I'd assume that with Blake at 3, the tentative internal pecking order for that last group is Xu > Hui > Yu.
Excited for the season!

