(08-26-2025, 09:51 AM)Spiny_Norman Wrote: Regardless of the success (or lack thereof) on the field, Stanford needs football in order to fund its other sports and to remain nationally competitive in those other sports. I glanced at the athletic profiles of a few other schools that do not play football (St. Marys, Gonzaga, UC Irvine, Pepperdine). They sponsor 16-20 sports, more or less evenly split between men's and women's. And most of those schools are only nationally competitive in 2-3 sports at most. So giving up on football probably would mean giving up on around 1/2 of Stanford's 36 sports.
This may be the most extreme possible route for Stanford. But I think financial reality is going to force the school's leaders to make some hard decisions soon about how many sports it can support and whether or not one of those is football (because football costs so much). It's going to come down to how much and for how long the University is willing to subsidize Athletics in order to maintain a broad based program.
it is not clear to me that football is currently a large net revenue contributor to the AD to fund other sports
From the 2023/24 AD annual report (and things are likely worse now)
- assume all the broadcast money is due to football - $20m (14% of $144m), I assume this goes down with the reduced share of ACC broadcast money for the next few years
- football gate - $6m (4% of $144m) - this is also trending down
- corp partnerships - $6m (4% of $144m) - to make it simple I'll assume all of this is for football
so I SWAG football directly brought in ~$32m in 23/24 and probably less now given the lesser share of ACC TV money and declining football attendance
other "revenue flows" that could be disrupted with an end to major college football
- expendable gifts - $20m, how much of this is tied to football/because of football, I'll guess 50% so $10m that would be eliminated if football became FCS
- endowment payout - $34m, lots of this is tied to endowed scholarships and coaching positions so it probably continues even if performance of the team lags, I'll SWAG that football is 50% given the ~85 scholarships and relatively highly paid coaching staff, so football is maybe ~$17m
of course "university support" in 23/24 was ~$48m (33% of the total) so almost as much as the total expendable gifts and endowment payout....and I doubt that level of support continues indefinitely...
Football travel expenses went up some but I would guess on a percentage increase basis a lot of other sports went up more due to increased travel for those sports now playing in the ACC
I think just as big, or a bigger risk, to other sports is if Stanford was not in a major conference a lot of the other sports tied to conference play in that conference become less attractive as I assume a lot of those athletes want to compete at the highest level and some players will choose to go elsewhere.