[washingtonismoney]

This is proven by the fact that star ratings often go up as offers come in.

That doesn't really prove anything. If the question is, 'what should a coach use to evaluate recruits?', then yes, that's a fatal blow. But there's no one on this thread espousing that position.


If the question is, 'what's a good way for a fan to get a rough idea of what players/teams are good?' That proves nothing at all.


On the contrary, we know recruiting ratings are actually fairly good predictors of future success. We know your Alabamas and Ohio States get great recruiting classes and then convert that into dominance on the field. And we know that, per capita, four- and five-star players are much more likely to become All-Americans in college and then get drafted by the NFL. It's well-established by now.* On the other hand, if you prefer to indulge your availability biases, go right ahead.


* (https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=ch...20rankings)

[washingtonismoney]

This is proven by the fact that star ratings often go up as offers come in.

That doesn't really prove anything. If the question is, 'what should a coach use to evaluate recruits?', then yes, that's a fatal blow. But there's no one on this thread espousing that position.


If the question is, 'what's a good way for a fan to get a rough idea of what players/teams are good?' That proves nothing at all.


On the contrary, we know recruiting ratings are actually fairly good predictors of future success. We know your Alabamas and Ohio States get great recruiting classes and then convert that into dominance on the field. And we know that, per capita, four- and five-star players are much more likely to become All-Americans in college and then get drafted by the NFL. It's well-established by now.* On the other hand, if you prefer to indulge your availability biases, go right ahead.


* (https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=ch...20rankings)