[82lsju]

I wonder if next year's admit rate will be a lot lower given the 378 deferrals, most who presumably enroll next year.

Maybe not, since there will be a four-year hole from the students who deferred if next year's class is smaller.  If you had admit a normal size class next year, you'd be fine the next three years, and only have too many people in three years, when the freshman class are seniors.

A friend in the admissions office told me that the current plan is to admit the same number of students next year and find some way to house the extra kids who deferred this year.

what would make sense to me would be to target 3,460 enrollees between the two classes to maintain the overall size of the undergrad population.

given this year had 1,607 enrollees and next year has 378 deferrals already I would target 1,475 new enrollees (if all frosh then that class would be 1,853 students).  Maybe they will take 100 transfers out of the 1,475 new enrollees next year to make the class of 2025 more normal in size and add some members to the class of '24 and '23.

[82lsju]

I wonder if next year's admit rate will be a lot lower given the 378 deferrals, most who presumably enroll next year.

Maybe not, since there will be a four-year hole from the students who deferred if next year's class is smaller.  If you had admit a normal size class next year, you'd be fine the next three years, and only have too many people in three years, when the freshman class are seniors.

A friend in the admissions office told me that the current plan is to admit the same number of students next year and find some way to house the extra kids who deferred this year.

what would make sense to me would be to target 3,460 enrollees between the two classes to maintain the overall size of the undergrad population.

given this year had 1,607 enrollees and next year has 378 deferrals already I would target 1,475 new enrollees (if all frosh then that class would be 1,853 students).  Maybe they will take 100 transfers out of the 1,475 new enrollees next year to make the class of 2025 more normal in size and add some members to the class of '24 and '23.