03-25-2022, 09:47 PM
Sigh.... Thanks, TWJ, for reminding us this was a top team we were playing, and (IIRC) the #1 team in offense.
Those were thankfully meaningless acorns in the 4th quarter. The sky isn't falling.
From near the end of the 3rd quarter, the win probability was 99.5% or better. We played a battle of attrition (as maximizes our win chances) and did win. As a team, you're battling both the opponent and the officials. You can't guard closely or you'll foul out and put them on the foul line. The refs seeming do call more (non-intentional) fouls on the leading team. Yeah, hitting 5 of 10 FT in the last quarter could be improved - we were 66.7% for the game. Not great, but ok (TX: 69.5%, SC: 67.2%, Creighton: 73.3%). Using season averages, for the players&FTs that were attempted, we would expect to hit 14.82 points, but instead got 14.
If you want to get ulcers, try cheering for Texas. They just barely scraped by a #6 seed - 1 point difference in the last minute. They weren't at a win probability of 99% until the literal last second. Now they're going up against what most people think is a better-than-#6 seed.
Other than Anna being trapped & tied up in the desperation defense (And I think there was a Haley pass.), we did OK. Anna probably learned not do that Sunday.
Texas is a good team. Indeed, if Stanford beats Texas, I think the NC game may be easier.
Those were thankfully meaningless acorns in the 4th quarter. The sky isn't falling.
From near the end of the 3rd quarter, the win probability was 99.5% or better. We played a battle of attrition (as maximizes our win chances) and did win. As a team, you're battling both the opponent and the officials. You can't guard closely or you'll foul out and put them on the foul line. The refs seeming do call more (non-intentional) fouls on the leading team. Yeah, hitting 5 of 10 FT in the last quarter could be improved - we were 66.7% for the game. Not great, but ok (TX: 69.5%, SC: 67.2%, Creighton: 73.3%). Using season averages, for the players&FTs that were attempted, we would expect to hit 14.82 points, but instead got 14.
If you want to get ulcers, try cheering for Texas. They just barely scraped by a #6 seed - 1 point difference in the last minute. They weren't at a win probability of 99% until the literal last second. Now they're going up against what most people think is a better-than-#6 seed.
Other than Anna being trapped & tied up in the desperation defense (And I think there was a Haley pass.), we did OK. Anna probably learned not do that Sunday.
Texas is a good team. Indeed, if Stanford beats Texas, I think the NC game may be easier.