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03-08-2020, 03:31 PM
(This post was last modified: 03-08-2020, 03:32 PM by
2006alum.)
We can't be in the Ducks' part of the bracket due to seeding rules (no same-conference 1-2 pairs). So Portland is out.
South Carolina has already locked up a one seed and will go to Greenville. Per NCAA seeding rules, now that NC State won the ACC, they will get the two seed in Greenville, so that they can stay in driving distance as well.
Louisville will likely end up with the final one seed and go to Fort Wayne, because they are driving distance. NC State also can't end up there due to the same same-conference rule. There's also a chance Maryland ends up a one seed, in which case Fort Wayne is their closest. At that point, Louisville would likely be the number two there.
Baylor is also almost certainly a lock for the Dallas one seed. So that leaves us going to Dallas. (I suspect at this point UCLA will drop to a three seed and end up in Fort Wayne; at this point Stanford, NC State, Maryland/Louisville, and the Huskies all have strong claims to a two seed, and UCLA as the strongest three seed would balance out the weakest 1-2 pair of Maryland/Louisville). That would leave the Huskies to face the Ducks.
And if this is so, ISU gave Tara a gift -- several weeks to watch the film of how they toppled Baylor and prep our ladies to do the same.
All of this assumes the tournament still happens as planned. As I've express elsewhere, color me skeptical, because we're still 11 days from the first games.