Can Stanford ride the wave of the home sweep, the Senior Night celebration, and the ACC Scholar-Athlete of the Year honor for Benny Gealer (https://gostanford.com/news/2026/03/3/ge...f-the-year) to spoil Senior Night at Notre Dame?
Here is the thread from that ugly loss to UND back in December - https://thecardboard.org/board/thread-25965.html. The first post is more of an ACC season preview - go to the 2nd post for the game preview.
Notre Dame is 13-16, 4-12 in the ACC, 10-6 at home. Last week, they suffered their worst home loss since 1898, 100-56 vs. Duke. But they bounced back with an impressive 96-90 OT win vs. NC State. They are tied with Pitt for the 15th (and last) spot in the ACC tourney and Pitt has the tie-breaker advantage. So the F'ing Irish will truly be fighting in this game and in their finale at BC to extend their season
Stanford is favored by 1.5, over/under is 146.5, implied score is 74-72.5.
Notre Dame is dead last in the ACC in turnover margin, assist/TO ratio, steals, and blocks. They are near the bottom in assists, scoring, & scoring margin. Their most favorable team stats are rebound margin (#7), 3s % (#6), & opponents 3s % (#8). In that forgettable 47-40 loss in December, the Irish dominated the boards 48 (16 off/32 def) to 38 (10/28). They led 12-4 in 2nd chance points & 30-18 in points in the paint - and that was when Okpara was still playing. Stanford will need Rohosy, Cammann, & Giltay to have more of a presence at both ends of the court. Notre Dame was just 3-16 from 3, but held Stanford to 4-30. Stanford led 11-4 in points off TOs & 9-2 in fast break points. But Okorie had his worst game with 7 points on 3-14 shooting.
Updates on Notre Dame players:
Shrewsberry, Towt, and Certa seem to be certain starters. Shrewsberry scores 11.8ppg, is #3 in the ACC with 2.8 3s/game, #4 with 40.3% on 3s, & #9 with 32.5 minutes/game. Towt is #4 with 9.3 rebounds/game. He shoots 61.1% on FGs, but just 32.1% from the line. Certa leads the ACC with 90.2% FT shooting (83-92). He averages 12.8ppg, but in February, he is scoring 20.1ppg, with 4.3 3s/game.
Haralson sprained an ankle on Feb. 10 and returned to action in the NC State game. He came off the bench to score 25 points and get 9 rebounds. I presume he will be back in the starting line-up tonight.
Mohammed and Sundra will likely see some time, but not start. Njie suffered a knee injury and is out for the season.
Three players not mentioned in my December preview will probably see action. Logan Imes (#2 6'4/205 Jr G) actually started vs. Stanford (my preview was obviously not very good) and in 8 other games. Brady Koehler (#6 6'10/205 Fr F) started vs. NC State and 10 other games. He is #24 in the ACC with 0.7 blocks/game and can shoot 3s (39.1%). Ryder Frost (#7 6'7/215 Fr F) is another young guy who shoots 39.2% from 3.
Without looking into all the match-ups and tie-breakers, it looks like Stanford could still finish anywhere from 8th to 14th in the ACC. But it seems most likely that they are destined to fall short of the 9th spot, missing out on the opportunity for a first-round bye in the ACC tourney. But a win tonight would sure be a bit of revenge for that December debacle. And I did see Stanford listed as a potential #1 seed in the NIT - https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/. Hey, if you're going to be in it, you might as well get a good seed.
Here is the thread from that ugly loss to UND back in December - https://thecardboard.org/board/thread-25965.html. The first post is more of an ACC season preview - go to the 2nd post for the game preview.
Notre Dame is 13-16, 4-12 in the ACC, 10-6 at home. Last week, they suffered their worst home loss since 1898, 100-56 vs. Duke. But they bounced back with an impressive 96-90 OT win vs. NC State. They are tied with Pitt for the 15th (and last) spot in the ACC tourney and Pitt has the tie-breaker advantage. So the F'ing Irish will truly be fighting in this game and in their finale at BC to extend their season
Stanford is favored by 1.5, over/under is 146.5, implied score is 74-72.5.
Notre Dame is dead last in the ACC in turnover margin, assist/TO ratio, steals, and blocks. They are near the bottom in assists, scoring, & scoring margin. Their most favorable team stats are rebound margin (#7), 3s % (#6), & opponents 3s % (#8). In that forgettable 47-40 loss in December, the Irish dominated the boards 48 (16 off/32 def) to 38 (10/28). They led 12-4 in 2nd chance points & 30-18 in points in the paint - and that was when Okpara was still playing. Stanford will need Rohosy, Cammann, & Giltay to have more of a presence at both ends of the court. Notre Dame was just 3-16 from 3, but held Stanford to 4-30. Stanford led 11-4 in points off TOs & 9-2 in fast break points. But Okorie had his worst game with 7 points on 3-14 shooting.
Updates on Notre Dame players:
Shrewsberry, Towt, and Certa seem to be certain starters. Shrewsberry scores 11.8ppg, is #3 in the ACC with 2.8 3s/game, #4 with 40.3% on 3s, & #9 with 32.5 minutes/game. Towt is #4 with 9.3 rebounds/game. He shoots 61.1% on FGs, but just 32.1% from the line. Certa leads the ACC with 90.2% FT shooting (83-92). He averages 12.8ppg, but in February, he is scoring 20.1ppg, with 4.3 3s/game.
Haralson sprained an ankle on Feb. 10 and returned to action in the NC State game. He came off the bench to score 25 points and get 9 rebounds. I presume he will be back in the starting line-up tonight.
Mohammed and Sundra will likely see some time, but not start. Njie suffered a knee injury and is out for the season.
Three players not mentioned in my December preview will probably see action. Logan Imes (#2 6'4/205 Jr G) actually started vs. Stanford (my preview was obviously not very good) and in 8 other games. Brady Koehler (#6 6'10/205 Fr F) started vs. NC State and 10 other games. He is #24 in the ACC with 0.7 blocks/game and can shoot 3s (39.1%). Ryder Frost (#7 6'7/215 Fr F) is another young guy who shoots 39.2% from 3.
Without looking into all the match-ups and tie-breakers, it looks like Stanford could still finish anywhere from 8th to 14th in the ACC. But it seems most likely that they are destined to fall short of the 9th spot, missing out on the opportunity for a first-round bye in the ACC tourney. But a win tonight would sure be a bit of revenge for that December debacle. And I did see Stanford listed as a potential #1 seed in the NIT - https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/. Hey, if you're going to be in it, you might as well get a good seed.
