(01-07-2015, 01:26 PM)Hulk01 link Wrote:I also think we will find that the greater percentage of runs was partly a function of cleaning up the messes. We faced way too many 2d and 15s and 3rd and longs because of penalties and fumbles (and bad snaps and exchanges, an average of one a game for the first half). With more 2ds and 6s and fewer 2d and 15s, we were able to run and threaten defenses with two dimensions.
Cause and effect are difficult to distinguish here, but I don't think cleaning up more runs is enough to explain all the differences.
Here is a comparison of our worst offensive games vs the good streak at the end. Against Utah is particularly key because we ran well but passed way too much and had an overall terrible offensive day. My sense is that the approach changed after that - certainly the result did.
Against und we had 28 first down plays, ran 14 passed 14
Against ASU we had 24 first down plays, ran 10 passed 14
Against Utah we had 29 first down plays, ran 17 passed 12.
then ...
Against Cal we had 33 first down plays, ran 27 passed 6.
Against UCLA we had 29 first down plays, ran 25 passed 4.
Against Maryland we had 34 first down plays, ran 23 passed 11.
So, before the mistakes kicked in we were still passing more pre-Utah.
OF course that doesn't establish cause and effect. They may simply be independent issues.
It's also true some of that is sitting on a lead late, but not all of it. [Another time I might go do first halves only, but it's a lot of work.]