[Treefence]

China's perspective.  Interesting.  

https://uscnpm.org/2022/03/12/hu-wei-rus...na-choice/

Mentions nuclear war a lot.  Advocates complete distancing from Russia, saying Russia will be isolated when they lose. Russia will be a pariah (even more so than they already are). Says U.S. will be big winners, will drive France, Germany and other NATO powers closer to U.S.  When Russia disengages, U. S. will drive closer relationships with NATO, QUAD, AUKUS and become much more powerful in the Pacific as Japan, Australia, Taiwan and Korea unite against China.

Adding to that NATO point, I wonder if Sweden or Finland will join soon.  Due to this war, it's become a much more popular idea in those countries, and from my understanding they'd have just about instant approval, I believe 24 hours, but I could be wrong on that.  Overall, I do believe this will only make NATO stronger, with countries seeing new value, and possibly the need, in contributing 2% of GDP to defense spending.  There are so many other things that could happen, but I haven't heard a lot of speculation about Belarus.  It's obviously puppet state for Putin, but it seems clear their military is avoiding participating in the war.  I wonder if this might be the time for a revolution in that country, with Lukashenko being extremely unpopular, and likely lost the last election, had it not been rigged.  I would love to see everything Putin is doing backfire, with him losing breakaway regions in Ukraine and losing Crimea, Sweden and Finland joining NATO, Belarus becoming a democracy, Putin's army getting embarrassed, and relations with China regressing.  I doubt all of that happens, but you never know.

[Treefence]

China's perspective.  Interesting.  

https://uscnpm.org/2022/03/12/hu-wei-rus...na-choice/

Mentions nuclear war a lot.  Advocates complete distancing from Russia, saying Russia will be isolated when they lose. Russia will be a pariah (even more so than they already are). Says U.S. will be big winners, will drive France, Germany and other NATO powers closer to U.S.  When Russia disengages, U. S. will drive closer relationships with NATO, QUAD, AUKUS and become much more powerful in the Pacific as Japan, Australia, Taiwan and Korea unite against China.

Adding to that NATO point, I wonder if Sweden or Finland will join soon.  Due to this war, it's become a much more popular idea in those countries, and from my understanding they'd have just about instant approval, I believe 24 hours, but I could be wrong on that.  Overall, I do believe this will only make NATO stronger, with countries seeing new value, and possibly the need, in contributing 2% of GDP to defense spending.  There are so many other things that could happen, but I haven't heard a lot of speculation about Belarus.  It's obviously puppet state for Putin, but it seems clear their military is avoiding participating in the war.  I wonder if this might be the time for a revolution in that country, with Lukashenko being extremely unpopular, and likely lost the last election, had it not been rigged.  I would love to see everything Putin is doing backfire, with him losing breakaway regions in Ukraine and losing Crimea, Sweden and Finland joining NATO, Belarus becoming a democracy, Putin's army getting embarrassed, and relations with China regressing.  I doubt all of that happens, but you never know.