04-22-2022, 07:02 PM
It will still be closer than 5 years ago.
Economist has a good webinar this morning on the Ukraine situation. The question of what Russia could do about NATO expansion (and presumably anything else NATO does) was brought up. Shawshank Joshi (defense correspondent) noted that 3/4 of Russias military strength was tied up fighting Ukraine. Russia can’t do anything about NaTO, full stop, in the short term. Obviously years from now, who knows. He indicated there will likely be consequences of Finland joining NATO such as increased militarization of Karelia. But right now you will see Russia making ineffective Sabre rattling noises, such as yesterdays ICBM launch or the video released of Russian soldiers on the border with Finland with a sign saying “Finland, that way”.
Only if it mobilizes for total war, rather than a “special military operation”. Do the Russian people believe that full mobilization is worth it for Ukraine?
BC
Economist has a good webinar this morning on the Ukraine situation. The question of what Russia could do about NATO expansion (and presumably anything else NATO does) was brought up. Shawshank Joshi (defense correspondent) noted that 3/4 of Russias military strength was tied up fighting Ukraine. Russia can’t do anything about NaTO, full stop, in the short term. Obviously years from now, who knows. He indicated there will likely be consequences of Finland joining NATO such as increased militarization of Karelia. But right now you will see Russia making ineffective Sabre rattling noises, such as yesterdays ICBM launch or the video released of Russian soldiers on the border with Finland with a sign saying “Finland, that way”.
Quote:Russia has 3x the population and 10x the GDP of Ukraine, so Russia potentially would have the ability to marshall sufficient troops and resources to achieve its goal.
Only if it mobilizes for total war, rather than a “special military operation”. Do the Russian people believe that full mobilization is worth it for Ukraine?
BC