[Treefence]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/darthputinkgb/status/1517948630702993409?s=21&t=9xKY4aHUzH8U3e-UNupKTQ[/tweet]

Major kudos for the Red October reference.

BC

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So the thinking behind a false flag would be to steel Russian's resolve for a long war with even more sacrifice. Not sure it makes sense in this context though. A blown up apartment building can get you more bodies without losing military and economically useful resources.

Exactly, blowing up an apartment complex to justify a war is straight out of Putin’s playbook.

https://web.archive.org/web/202004171400...wer-2018-3

BC

That all makes sense and is likely right.  I think part of the reason it came to my mind, is it sounded like one of the oil sites hit was very close to residential housing, so maybe the fire "accidentally" spreads to residential buildings and gets the desired effect.  At this point that's probably giving Russian planning too much credit though.

[Treefence]

[tweet]https://twitter.com/darthputinkgb/status/1517948630702993409?s=21&t=9xKY4aHUzH8U3e-UNupKTQ[/tweet]

Major kudos for the Red October reference.

BC

---

So the thinking behind a false flag would be to steel Russian's resolve for a long war with even more sacrifice. Not sure it makes sense in this context though. A blown up apartment building can get you more bodies without losing military and economically useful resources.

Exactly, blowing up an apartment complex to justify a war is straight out of Putin’s playbook.

https://web.archive.org/web/202004171400...wer-2018-3

BC

That all makes sense and is likely right.  I think part of the reason it came to my mind, is it sounded like one of the oil sites hit was very close to residential housing, so maybe the fire "accidentally" spreads to residential buildings and gets the desired effect.  At this point that's probably giving Russian planning too much credit though.