[TrumpCard]

One thing I wonder, and if anyone has any insight it is welcomed, but what factor does Ukraine fully mobilizing just before the ware started. Estimates were that Ukraine had has about 200k active soldiers, and likely more than double that in reserve.  How long does it take for those reserves to be at full strength.  Also, assuming a number of people volunteered to join the armed forces after Feb 24th, how long will it take for those soldiers to be combat ready.  Given Russia had an estimated 190k soldiers for this attack, with a certain amount added from DNR, LNR, and Wagner, shouldn't we expect the troop numbers to favor Ukraine overwhelmingly at some point?  Obviously troop numbers alone aren't a full measure of military strength, but these numbers are part of why I'm optimistic long term for Ukraine, assuming western support doesn't dry up.

Ukraine recently stated they are outnumbered 7 to 1 in some areas of the Donbas.  I don't know how to square that with your math, which suggests that the Ukrainians might outnumber the Russians.  I know Ukraine has soldiers elsewhere because it has to defend the whole country, but you wouldn't expect to see only 1/7 of Ukraine's army in the only area of the country where Russia is attacking aggressively.

[TrumpCard]

One thing I wonder, and if anyone has any insight it is welcomed, but what factor does Ukraine fully mobilizing just before the ware started. Estimates were that Ukraine had has about 200k active soldiers, and likely more than double that in reserve.  How long does it take for those reserves to be at full strength.  Also, assuming a number of people volunteered to join the armed forces after Feb 24th, how long will it take for those soldiers to be combat ready.  Given Russia had an estimated 190k soldiers for this attack, with a certain amount added from DNR, LNR, and Wagner, shouldn't we expect the troop numbers to favor Ukraine overwhelmingly at some point?  Obviously troop numbers alone aren't a full measure of military strength, but these numbers are part of why I'm optimistic long term for Ukraine, assuming western support doesn't dry up.

Ukraine recently stated they are outnumbered 7 to 1 in some areas of the Donbas.  I don't know how to square that with your math, which suggests that the Ukrainians might outnumber the Russians.  I know Ukraine has soldiers elsewhere because it has to defend the whole country, but you wouldn't expect to see only 1/7 of Ukraine's army in the only area of the country where Russia is attacking aggressively.