06-03-2022, 03:32 PM
(06-03-2022, 02:49 PM)TrumpCard Wrote: Ukraine recently stated they are outnumbered 7 to 1 in some areas of the Donbas. I don't know how to square that with your math, which suggests that the Ukrainians might outnumber the Russians. I know Ukraine has soldiers elsewhere because it has to defend the whole country, but you wouldn't expect to see only 1/7 of Ukraine's army in the only area of the country where Russia is attacking aggressively.It is certainly true the Ukraine has to defend their entire border. Russia is maintaining some pressure along the entire line of contact, so Ukraine can't strip lots of troops from one area and move them Donbas. Even around Odesa Ukraine has to keep troops because Russia could at least in theory stage an amphibious landing.
It is also true that essentially all the volunteer units are infantry only with little training. They have no organic transport and no experience being redeployed around the country. They aren't organized to do that. Many of these folks are not full-time soldiers and have "day jobs". They volunteered to protect their homes, not to go to the Donbas. While many of them might go if asked, the unit as a whole probably wouldn't. Organizationally difficult to do.
I don't know the exact composition of the units fighting in the Donbas, but I am pretty sure they started out being mostly "indigenous" units, much like elsewhere in Ukraine. These units were undoubtedly reinforced by more regular units as time went on and it became clear Russia was concentrating there, but there have been heavy casualties. Zelenskyy has stated that he isn't increasing the number units in contact because it would just result in higher casualties from Russian artillery without materially increasing their combat power. He is probably correct. Infantry vs artillery always ends badly for the former. Ukraine is expecting a lot from their new weapons. I hope they come soon and can allow Ukraine to use their strength to good effect.
