[Hurlburt88]

I like the good news coming out recently.   THat said, a more pessimistic long-term view remains a shadow in my mind:  
- Russia uses energy to reduce European support of Ukraine
-  Russia annexes as much of Ukraine as they can, perhaps after making gains in a 2023 offensive
- Russia invokes "we will use nukes since this is part of Russia" to help defend annexed territories going forward

[Hurlburt88]

I like the good news coming out recently.   THat said, a more pessimistic long-term view remains a shadow in my mind:  
- Russia uses energy to reduce European support of Ukraine
-  Russia annexes as much of Ukraine as they can, perhaps after making gains in a 2023 offensive
- Russia invokes "we will use nukes since this is part of Russia" to help defend annexed territories going forward