[TrumpCard]

https://twitter.com/Aviation_Intel/statu...ng-in-days

The link above points out many of the limitations associated with these kinds of systems. It is great Ukraine is getting these missiles, but their effects will be very limited. While Israel has had some luck defending their very small country against various missile threats, even they still have problems. Ukraine is a much bigger country.

It's not realistic for Ukraine to be able to develop an Iron Dome over its entire country, but air defense systems still would be mighty useful.  We previously talked about the population and geographic size of Ukrainian cities.  The top 8 cities in Ukrainian control right now had a pre-war population in the range of 500k-3MM (which is obviously much lower now due to all the refugees leaving).  Those cities are what you'd want to protect, mainly, because they have essential infrastructure and dense population.  Fortunately, those cities are geographically small, so they could be defended reasonably well.  After those somewhat dense areas, there are a dozen or two dozen towns of 100k-300k, which probably are not realistic for Ukraine to defend with SAMs.  But it's also not very efficient for Russia to target civilian structures in such towns, which consist mostly of single family homes and low rise commercial/industrial buildings.

Edit:  Unfortunately, you may be too optimistic about the delivery date.  According to John Kirby, it's likely going to be "a year or more" for the remaining NASAMS systems after the first two.  https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/202...734USFJFPA

[TrumpCard]

https://twitter.com/Aviation_Intel/statu...ng-in-days

The link above points out many of the limitations associated with these kinds of systems. It is great Ukraine is getting these missiles, but their effects will be very limited. While Israel has had some luck defending their very small country against various missile threats, even they still have problems. Ukraine is a much bigger country.

It's not realistic for Ukraine to be able to develop an Iron Dome over its entire country, but air defense systems still would be mighty useful.  We previously talked about the population and geographic size of Ukrainian cities.  The top 8 cities in Ukrainian control right now had a pre-war population in the range of 500k-3MM (which is obviously much lower now due to all the refugees leaving).  Those cities are what you'd want to protect, mainly, because they have essential infrastructure and dense population.  Fortunately, those cities are geographically small, so they could be defended reasonably well.  After those somewhat dense areas, there are a dozen or two dozen towns of 100k-300k, which probably are not realistic for Ukraine to defend with SAMs.  But it's also not very efficient for Russia to target civilian structures in such towns, which consist mostly of single family homes and low rise commercial/industrial buildings.

Edit:  Unfortunately, you may be too optimistic about the delivery date.  According to John Kirby, it's likely going to be "a year or more" for the remaining NASAMS systems after the first two.  https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/202...734USFJFPA