03-15-2023, 11:32 AM
(03-15-2023, 11:03 AM)jonnyss Wrote:(03-14-2023, 08:28 PM)qwerty49 Wrote:(03-14-2023, 04:04 PM)Goose Wrote:(03-14-2023, 02:04 PM)WBB fan Wrote:Remember, the Vegas line is not set by what the books think will actually happen. It is set by what they think makes the books the most money.(03-14-2023, 12:12 PM)Spike Wrote: Vegas knows best: we are #3 at 9:1 after So. Car. and UConn.
Hate to say it about Vegas knows best, but not always. I think Vegas still has a limited grasp on wbb. They had us a 9.5 favorite over UCLA in the Pac-12 tournament
Yes. Whatever best balances the bets (and thus financial exposure) on all sides.
yes, i'm no expert, but i thought espn is the opinion of individuals, whereas the line simply reflects betting volume rather than the opinion of some individuals in vegas. i thought odds favoring iowa simply mean more folks are betting on iowa. as the odds favoring us over ucla reflected more folks betting on us.
That's exactly right, as I understand it -- so the Vegas odds reflect what the betting public is thinking, and these are people who are putting money down. As far as WBB odds are concerned, at this point I think that many new bettors are getting in who aren't as familiar with the women's game as they with other things they bet on, like NBA and NFL for example. The result is that odds can be off compared to an informed assessment of probability of outcome. And that's what I meant when I said that "Vegas still has a limited grasp on wbb."
