[OutsiderFan]

Everyone gets wrapped up in Presidential elections, but the real elections are for houses of legislatures. I don't know the political system in Ukraine, but Zelensky will sail to re-election if there is one and he runs. The question is will his party win its representative elections? 

In any case, I'm seeing Ukraine is really taking a serious foothold on the bank of the Dnipro river, and starting to spread the front line out quite a bit. It appears Ukraine is well aware of Russia's proclivity to attack from flanks. What better way to avoid flank attacks than by not allowing any flanks. 

So rather than concentrating forces in one place to get a breakthrough, and then be left vulnerable from the sides of the re-gained territory, UAF seem more inclined to slowly advance on a much wider front line. The territorial gain in terms of area may be the same as a concentrated breakthrough, but it would be spread over a much wider front line. I don't know what the UAF tactics are in terms of what the size of their fighting groups are and how they are equipped, as they move forward, but I do believe Ukraine is going to start moving a lot more personnel and equipment into Zaporizhia as they gain more ground on that side of the Dnipro.

It would appear Russia can't reinforce Zaporizhia much more. They are trying like hell to save Tokmak and committing and losing an absurd number of resources to Avdivka. They simply aren't going to be able to sustain things on three very active fronts. And they face worn out troops trying to survive the Winter against fresher Ukraine forces with better morale.

You love to see it:
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/23451

[OutsiderFan]

Everyone gets wrapped up in Presidential elections, but the real elections are for houses of legislatures. I don't know the political system in Ukraine, but Zelensky will sail to re-election if there is one and he runs. The question is will his party win its representative elections? 

In any case, I'm seeing Ukraine is really taking a serious foothold on the bank of the Dnipro river, and starting to spread the front line out quite a bit. It appears Ukraine is well aware of Russia's proclivity to attack from flanks. What better way to avoid flank attacks than by not allowing any flanks. 

So rather than concentrating forces in one place to get a breakthrough, and then be left vulnerable from the sides of the re-gained territory, UAF seem more inclined to slowly advance on a much wider front line. The territorial gain in terms of area may be the same as a concentrated breakthrough, but it would be spread over a much wider front line. I don't know what the UAF tactics are in terms of what the size of their fighting groups are and how they are equipped, as they move forward, but I do believe Ukraine is going to start moving a lot more personnel and equipment into Zaporizhia as they gain more ground on that side of the Dnipro.

It would appear Russia can't reinforce Zaporizhia much more. They are trying like hell to save Tokmak and committing and losing an absurd number of resources to Avdivka. They simply aren't going to be able to sustain things on three very active fronts. And they face worn out troops trying to survive the Winter against fresher Ukraine forces with better morale.

You love to see it:
https://www.kyivpost.com/post/23451