(12-11-2023, 08:19 AM)lex24 Wrote: Win out get No 1 seed. Which is great. Except it may mean they have to play both Cowboys and Eagles. Because the Cowboys will be the number five seed unless the Eagles lose again, which is doubtful given their schedule. They will play the lunar of the NFC south, which will be a crummy team that squeaks by on about eight and eight. But still will be seated at four because of the stupid way the NFL seeds. After the Cowboys blast that team, and assuming the Eagles in number two and Detroit in number three take care of six and seven respectively, that will leave the 49ers with Dallas.
If I were commissioner for a day, id change it so that the number one seed gets to pick who it plays in the Divisional round. It earned that right after 17 games. Plus it would be fun. Bulletin Board material…..
I like that solution...
Winning out is going to be easier said than done. Three of the 49ers' remaining opponents are fairly weak (Rams, Cardinals, Commanders). The Cardinals and Commanders are particularly weak, and both games are on the road. Rams are at home, last game of the season. But the Ravens (10-3) on Christmas Day will be a bit of a challenge. The 49ers have three minor advantages (a) it's a 49er home game, (b) the game is at 5:15 p.m., which is 8:15 body clock time for the Ravens players. I anticipate the Ravens will wear down in the second half as they will be playing past 9:30 p.m. body clock time, and ( c ) the 49ers will have played a weak Cardinals team the prior week, and the Ravens will have played a strong Jacksonville team and may be a bit more worn down.
Otherwise...the Ravens have done slightly better against most of their common opponents (Bengals, Browns, Rams, Seahawks, Cardinals). Ravens are 3-1 against the Bengals and Browns, 49ers are 0-2. Niners beat Seattle by 18 and 12, Ravens beat them by 34. Niners beat the Rams by 7, Ravens beat them by 6. Niners crushed the Cardinals by 19, Ravens beat them by 7.
I suspect the 49ers will be favored by 4. ESPN's matchup predictor gives the 49ers a 64.4% chance of winning.
Audaces fortuna iuvat
