[dabigv13]

Ukraine seems to be expanding and broadening the offensive, with possibly two or three new axes of advance across the border both east and west of the current main axis. Still rumors from Russian telegram channels thus far, no video. 

https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/182...7718868028
https://x.com/DefMon3/status/1822368582841561225
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1822245964813316469

These locations are along about 100 miles of the border. Obviously unknown how much of this is true and how many Ukrainian units involved, but certainly there's a sense Russian lines may be paper thin.

I'm still skeptical Ukraine can hold this territory, but the wider the penetration the easier the logistics will be, and Russia has only shown the ability to attack by heavily concentrating their infantry and using their glide bombs to repeatedly hammer the defenses for meat assaults. It could take Russia a while to concentrate enough forces to mount a good counter offensive- their ability to counter attack when the lines are unsettled and there is a lot of maneuver has been poor thus far in the war in the limited times that has been the situation. 

Also the large ammo dump at Lipetsk airbase Ukraine recently blew up was reportedly a large stock of FAB glide bombs. Russian precision munitions seem to be used pretty soon after they are produced, so that could be important.

[dabigv13]

Ukraine seems to be expanding and broadening the offensive, with possibly two or three new axes of advance across the border both east and west of the current main axis. Still rumors from Russian telegram channels thus far, no video. 

https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/182...7718868028
https://x.com/DefMon3/status/1822368582841561225
https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1822245964813316469

These locations are along about 100 miles of the border. Obviously unknown how much of this is true and how many Ukrainian units involved, but certainly there's a sense Russian lines may be paper thin.

I'm still skeptical Ukraine can hold this territory, but the wider the penetration the easier the logistics will be, and Russia has only shown the ability to attack by heavily concentrating their infantry and using their glide bombs to repeatedly hammer the defenses for meat assaults. It could take Russia a while to concentrate enough forces to mount a good counter offensive- their ability to counter attack when the lines are unsettled and there is a lot of maneuver has been poor thus far in the war in the limited times that has been the situation. 

Also the large ammo dump at Lipetsk airbase Ukraine recently blew up was reportedly a large stock of FAB glide bombs. Russian precision munitions seem to be used pretty soon after they are produced, so that could be important.